How the New Continuing Resolution Will Frustrate the Pentagon
By Joe Gould, Megan Eckstein & Jen Judson, Defense News: "Exceptions can be made for “anomalies.” But for now, the continuing resolution means a Pentagon priority — a $5.5 billion boost for the development and testing of cutting-edge technologies that could deter China — is on hold."
How Control of the World’s Oceans Shapes the Fate of the Superpowers
By Catherine Putz, The Diplomat: “The oceans are a central zone for commercial competition, scientific collaboration, and naval rivalry. Sea-based trade is not just an element of globalization; it’s the core of it.”
The Nuclear Balance Is Changing—And Not for the Better
By Peter Huessy, The National Interest: “As the nuclear posture review begins, the United States faces serious dilemmas."
China Military Watch
By Reginald Lin & Eli Huang, The Strategist (ASPI): “The careful selection by Chinese leader Xi Jinping of military officers for rapid promotion to key positions in the People’s Liberation Army may signal both a wish to consolidate the military behind him and a concern about emerging security challenges in China’s far western regions.”
Regime realism and Chinese grand strategy
Hal Brands | American Enterprise Institute
China’s behavior is difficult to understand solely, or even primarily, through a “realist” lens. A paradigm of regime realism — one that combines an understanding of power and anarchy with an appreciation of ideology and the nature of a country’s government — offers greater insight.
An F-22 Pilot in a Real Jet Just Took On China’s J-20 in Augmented Reality
By Alex Hollings, Sandboxx News: “An American veteran F-22 pilot just took on a virtual representation of China’s Chengdu J-20 stealth fighter from the seat of a very real aircraft in flight."
Rare-Earth Elements: A National Security Crisis
By William A. Saxton, RealClearDefense: ““The Middle East has the oil, but China has the rare earths,” spoken by Deng Xiaoping, Supreme Leader of China, in 1992. What did he mean and what did he know that we didn’t?"
America’s Winning Culture:
A Road to Ruin in the 21st Century
By Rich Milburn, Strategy Bridge: "The United States’ cultural obsession with winning precludes an effective grand strategy."
Strengthening the Indian-U.S. Defense Partnership
By Richard Weitz, SLDinfo: “The next U.S. presidential administration should build on the positive legacy of the Trump administration in strengthening the Indo-U.S. security ties."
Analysis: Al Qaeda’s Deputy Emir Killed in Iran
By Thomas Joscelyn, FDD's Long War Journal “Last month, an al Qaeda-linked social media account reported that Abu Muhammad al-Masri (a.k.a. Abdullah Ahmed Abdullah) had been killed under mysterious circumstances inside Iran."
China is challenging America’s conception of what values an international order should embody. But China’s behavior is difficult to understand solely through a “realist” lens. In an AEI report, Hal Brands explains that a paradigm of regime realism — one that combines an understanding of power and anarchy with an appreciation of ideology and governance — offers greater insight. The US-China contest is one for the long haul. Read the full report here.