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Demography

POWELL'S "RIVER OF BLOOD" SPEECH ON U.K. DEMOGRAPHY & RACE RELATIONS

6/9/2020

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Pater Familiar
The role of fathers has changed, and little in the lives of men prepares them to meet the new expectations.
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An "Unimaginable Nightmare": The Abduction, Rape, and Forced Conversion of Christian Girls in Egypt  by Raymond Ibrahim ​
France: More Terrorism, More Silence  by Giulio Meotti  ​
Todd Bensman on Jihadi Infiltration into Europe  by Marilyn Stern
Middle East Forum Webinar
September 25, 2020
https://www.meforum.org/61575/bensman-on-terrorist-migration-into-europe
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HOW THE MYTHOLOGY OF "SOULMATE" DESTROYS MARRIAGE PROSPECTUS'

5/21/2020

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The Economics of Marriage in Greta Gerwig’s “Little Women”
For as long as our love shall last: How the soulmate myth makes marriage less stable and less happy
W. Bradford Wilcox | Institute for Family Studies
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EXPLAINING ISRAEL'S EXPLODING DEMOGRAPHY & DECLINE OF US RELIGIOSITY

4/14/2020

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Urban, Dense: A Defense
Alex Armlovich, Manhattan Institute
Israel's Role Among the Nations—A Speech by Yoram Hazony at JLC 2019

In a moving speech at the 2019 Conference on Jews and Conservatism, Israeli political philosopher Yoram Hazony showed how Israel's national pride and civilizational confidence can help restore and renew Western civilization. Watch Now (26 minutes).

2) Israel's Demographic Miracle

Alone among the advanced democracies of the world, Israel is experiencing a demographic boom. In an important Mosaic essay a few years ago—on the occasion of the Jewish state's 70th anniversary—Ofir Haivry took a close look at the meaning of Israeli vitality. Read or Print Now.
Promise and peril: The history of American religiosity and its recent decline
Lyman Stone | American Enterprise Institute
American religiosity is in rapid decline according to numerous measures.
America is an upwardly mobile society
Michael R. Strain | Mercatus Center
What we care about most is whether today’s young people will be upwardly mobile. We should pursue that goal aggressively, as if the American dream is slipping from our grasp — even if it’s not.
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HOW THE PANDEMIC ENDS CITY LIFE IN AMERICA

4/4/2020

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MANHATTAN INSTITUTE
Vindicating Jaffa and Property Rights
Michael Greve discusses the daunting prospects for the Roberts Court in a closely divided country. Read More »
Marriage with family at its center  
W. Bradford Wilcox | The Wall Street Journal

Soulmate marriage, RIP  
W. Bradford Wilcox | Institute for Family Studies
REAGAN FOUNDATION ESSAYS
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The future of conservative foreign policy: Political realities and electoral viability  
Kori Schake | Reagan Foundation

Becoming more competitive with China  
Dan Blumenthal | Reagan Foundation

Democracy and authoritarianism: How should values matter in foreign policy?  
Colin Dueck | Reagan Foundation
E21:  PUBLIC DEBT CHALLENGES W/ COVID
Cities and States Face a Bleak and Uncertain Future
Stephen Eide, E21

Interest rates have never been lower as the government embarks on one of the largest fiscal spending programs in history. The CARES Act is expected to cost at least $2 trillion and more is expected to come. It is tempting to argue that while interest rates are so low—even negative-- all this spending is effectively costless. Yet this new debt will last far longer than the economic damage from the coronavirus and the U.S. Government is exposed to interest rate risk because it normally finances its spending with short term debt. As it comes due, the debt is rolled over with newer bonds. If interest rates go up in the future, servicing the debt could get expensive and begin to crowd out other spending.  Read more here...
Waking Up to Reality
Razib Khan, City Journal
THE FED & COVID PANDEMIC
How to help failing black communities
Congress’ economic recovery package includes $500 billion to provide loans to large US corporations. These loans should avoid adding to financial distress, be temporary, be respectful of private control, and grant a reasonable return to taxpayers, write R. Glenn Hubbard and Michael Strain.
READ MORE
The middle class is changing, not dying  
Michael R. Strain | Mercatus Center 
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FAMILY STRUCTURE, EDUCATION OUTCOMES & THE ISLAMISTS TAKE FRANCE

2/28/2020

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A future of work that complements family life
Angela Rachidi and Abby McCloskey | Institute for Family Studies
The new rhythms of teleworking point to a promising future for families — one in which flexible work practices support parents and their children alike.
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IAN ROWE
Measure What Matters
On family structure and student outcomes
Reevaluating the Prosperity of the American Family – Oren Cass, Manhattan Institute
Michel Gurfinkiel: Islamists Stand a "Very Good Chance" of Conquering France by Marilyn Stern
Middle East Forum Radio
March 7, 2020
https://www.meforum.org/60539/islamists-very-good-chance-of-conquering-france
Paul Stott on Islamist Radicalization in the United Kingdom by Marilyn Stern
Middle East Forum Radio
March 5, 2020
https://www.meforum.org/60534/paul-stott-on-islamist-radicalization-in-the-uk
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HOW THE GREAT GOLDEN HORDE IS STILL ALIVE:  ANCIENT TURKIC SPEAKING PEOPLES IN EURASIA

2/10/2020

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HOW TO UNDERSTAND MODERN DIVORCE

2/10/2020

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'Marriage Story': A reflection of modern divorce
Naomi Schaefer Riley | AEI video
Is success a sequence? How choices affect outcomes
Brent Orrell, Ian Rowe, and Isabel Sawhill | "Hardly Working"
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RUSSIAN DEMOGRAPHY AND POWER

2/6/2020

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Russian Demographics and Power: Does the Kremlin Have a Long Game? by Michael Kofman
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US MARRIAGE RATES ARE UP:  HERE'S WHY & ZERO POPULATION GROWTH FOR US

1/3/2020

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A decade in review: The surprisingly good news about American family life — for kids
W. Bradford Wilcox and Alysse ElHage | USA Today
The story of the death of marriage in America is greatly exaggerated.
Where I went wrong in 2019: Letting the church off the hook for its decline
Timothy P. Carney | Washington Examiner
Zero Growth In Population Is Now Reality
By IRA STOLL, Special to the Sun | January 6, 2020
https://www.nysun.com/national/zero-growth-in-population-is-now-reality/90965/
Healthy marriage and responsible fatherhood
W. Bradford Wilcox | Administration for Children and Families
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HITLER'S FORGOTTEN CHILDREN & THE WOMEN WHO REDISCOVERED THEM

12/28/2019

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https://www.amazon.com/Hitlers-Forgotten-Children-Lebensborn-Identity/dp/B01AAYUABO/ref=tmm_aud_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=1577392209&sr=1-1
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WHY FAMILY STRUCTURE MATTERS IN SOCIAL OUTCOMES & US FERTILITY DECLINES FAST

11/23/2019

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US BIRTH RATE FALLS
WHY US FERTILITY DROPS
The black-white divide in suspensions: What is the role of family?
W. Bradford Wilcox | Institute for Family Studies
Family structure accounts for real differences in school conduct and school suspensions, helping explain the racial divide in school discipline rates.
Birth Control & the Decline of Civilization
By Steven Kessler on Dec 01, 2019 10:01 pm
Traditionally, the type of men that women wanted to marry embodied all of the classic standards of male achievement: educated, physically fit, the ability to hold down a job. But in 1960, everything changed. A watershed moment produced an oral contraceptive known as “the pill.” No innovation has fundamentally altered the premises of civilization ...
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American Family Diaries: Can ethnographic research help shape public policy?
In this volume, scholars and practitioners write from a variety of worldviews and experiences about how qualitative research and ethnography can help us understand drivers of poverty and barriers to social mobility. 
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THE SURGE OF CHINESE URBANIZATION AFTER MAO & WEAPONIZED MIGRATION

10/23/2019

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Urbanization with Chinese characteristics: Domestic migration and urban growth in contemporary China
Nicholas Eberstadt and Alex Coblin | American Enterprise Institute
 In this report, the authors use data from China’s 2010 census to examine China’s urbanization and migration patterns from an international perspective.
Search-and-Rescue in the Age of Weaponized Migration
By Kevin Duffy, Proceedings: "A U.S. Navy destroyer is underway in the Mediterranean, headed eastward to be in position for missile strikes against a recently discovered chemical weapons cache that belongs to a rogue Middle Eastern regime. As the ship makes best speed for its intended sector, however, it comes across a stunning scene: a flimsy and overloaded migrant boat that has capsized, spilling more than 100 people into the sea."
Due to extremely low levels of fertility over the past generation, urban China now requires a constant inflow of rural migrants to maintain, much less increase, the workforce in China’s cities. But since most skilled labor from the countryside is already working in urban areas, the next wave of migrants may be less productive than authorities anticipate. In a new AEI report, Nicholas Eberstadt and Alex Coblin examine the great urbanization in China over the post-Mao era and suggest that despite the rise of populous cities, China is under-urbanized. 
Read the full report here.
 
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HUMAN CAPITAL IS THE FINAL FRONTIER OF TECHNOLOGY

10/1/2019

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FLATLINE:  ASIA'S DEMOGRAPHIC IMPLOSION & WHY BEHAVIOR MATTERS

9/18/2019

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IMF:  ASIA TIMES
China’s changing family structure: Dimensions and implications
Nicholas Eberstadt | American Enterprise Institute 
Despite the small library of studies on population change in modern China, little has been written on what these changes in the Chinese family portend.
MATT DELISI, JOHN PAUL WRIGHT
Behavior Matters
Why some people spend their lives in poverty and social dysfunction
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HOW MELINDA GATES GETS POVERTY & THE PILL WRONG; WHY WOMEN WANT PART TIME WORK

8/22/2019

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MELINDA GATES IS WRONG: BIRTH CONTROL ISN’T POVERTY CONTROL
By EPPC Cardinal Francis George Fellow Mary FioRito
National Catholic Register

Even if the poor do achieve a momentary “lift” from the widespread use of artificial contraceptives, as Melinda Gates contends, it is a lift that will likely have no lasting impact. You don’t eliminate poverty by eliminating the poor. Read More
Restoring the marriage ecosystem
W. Bradford Wilcox, David Lapp, and Amber Lapp | NationalReview.com | July 25, 2019 
 
Marriage facilitates responsible fatherhood
W. Bradford Wilcox | Institute for Family Studies | June 12, 2019 
 
Promoting marriage is good social policy
Brent Orrell | RealClearPolicy | March 15, 2019 
The Violence Against Women Act Must Also Combat Female Genital Mutilation
quoting Ayaan Hirsi Ali via The Washington Examiner 
This week, the Violence Against Women Act turns 25 years old. The act was passed in 1994 with bipartisan support because lawmakers wanted the government to do more to combat violence against women, ensure those who abuse and assault women are held accountable, and address new threats. While we have certainly made progress, our work is not done.
Why Work Matters
SCOTT YENOR 
Women and the Family Track
Two recent studies reveal that many female professionals still prefer part-time work.
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CHILDREN IN THE AGE OF AUTONOMY

8/19/2019

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Tips for raising lifelong readers   
Naomi Schaefer Riley | Institute for Family Studies
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THE ASIAN CENTURY IS OVER; JAPAN'S IMPLODING DEMOGRAPHY & WHY THE LEFT LOSES CITIES

7/27/2019

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HOW TO UNDERSTAND THE ASIAN CENTURY THAT DIED
Socialism Has Failed. Period. 
by David R. Henderson via Defining Ideas
Two economists journey through Socialist lands—and tell us what they see. 
The Asian Century Is Over
By Michael Auslin, Foreign Policy: "Beset by conflicts, stagnating economies, and political troubles, the region no longer looks set to rule the world.
​Geography And The Dilemma Of The Left
by Jonathan Rodden via Medium
The story of why cities lose in democracies with winner-take-all districts does not begin with the advent of sophisticated gerrymandering or the outbreak of contemporary culture wars.
5 Real Solutions For The Troubled Cities Democrats Helped Cripple
quoting Thomas Sowell via The Federalist
Democrats have run America's most dangerous cities for decades. They have no answers. Here are five solutions to fix the problems Democrat policies made worse.
Why Democrats Lose
featuring Jonathan Rodden via City Journal
For many urbanites, “rural America” is another way of saying “provincialism.” City-dwellers—especially on the coasts—give a strong impression of disdaining heartland voters and blaming them for unfavorable election results. A liberal policy agenda, they believe, would thrive if not for partisan gerrymandering, which favors sparsely populated areas.
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CHINA'S INTERNAL DOMESTIC PROBLEM:  CALLED ISLAM

7/26/2019

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THE NATURE OF MARITAL HAPPINESS FOR JANE AUSTEN

7/26/2019

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Artificial Birth Control — A Battle Lost
Robert V. Thomann
 A battle is a confrontation between an enemy invading to dominate and a friend defending to protect. In the Church, a most crucial battle has been fought for many decades between a culture that has invaded to dominate with artificial birth control (ABC) as the clear means for protecting one’s freedom and the Church’s defense […]
The Nature of Marital Happiness in “Pride & Prejudice”
By Susannah Pearce on Jul 23, 2019 10:00 pm
In “Pride and Prejudice,” Elizabeth Bennet is vehement that the character of the person must be determined in order to make a good choice. While spouses may change over time in superficial ways, the essentials remain constant. While one may hope for the conversion of a scoundrel or a fool, it is not worth ...
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Marriage and fidelity in the internet age 
Betsy Vandenberghe, Jeffrey P. Dew, and W. Bradford Wilcox | NationalReview.com 
Jane Austen is more than a giantess among women writers. She is also a giantess among the giants, holding a place of pride and prominence among the greatest writers of either sex and of all ages. She doesn’t merely tower above George Elliot, Mary Shelley, Virginia Woolf, and the Brontë sisters, she also towers above ...
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BEIJING'S POLITICAL CLASS ABANDONS WIDOWS

7/13/2019

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DEMOGRAPHY IN THE RUST BELT IS CHANGING & AN EDUCATED WORKFORCE IS OVERRATED

7/4/2019

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AARON M. RENN
The Rust Belt’s Mixed Population Story
Larger cities in the region are seeing some growth—but mostly from in-state residents leaving troubled or stagnant locales.
An Educated Workforce Is Overrated
Conor Sen, Bloomberg
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CHINA'S FAST GROWING URBAN CRISIS

6/22/2019

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JOEL KOTKIN
China’s Urban Crisis
Authoritarian planning, rising class tensions, and sophisticated population surveillance cast a shadow on the country’s rapidly growing cities.
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ANOTHER SEXUAL REVOLUTION:  GENDER, GREAT POWER COMPETITION & DEMOGRAPHY

6/12/2019

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New Vatican document says gender theory is ‘cultural and ideological revolution’
​By Catholic News Agency on Jun 10, 2019 12:49 pm
Vatican City, Jun 10, 2019 / 08:35 am (CNA).- A Vatican department has issued a sweeping denunciation of so-called gender theory, and affirmed the principles of human dignity, difference, and complementarity. “In all such [gender] [...]
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With great demographics comes great power
Nicholas Eberstadt | Foreign Affaris 
Although conventional measures of economic and military power often receive more attention than demographics, few factors influence the long-term competition between great powers as much as changes in the size, capabilities, and characteristics of national populations.
Red, white, and gray: Population aging, deaths of despair, and the institutional stagnation of America
Lyman Stone | American Enterprise Institute 
Americans are getting older, society is changing, and our institutions have become less dynamic. This will have significant economic and social consequences over the next several decades.
In a new piece for Foreign Affairs, Nicholas Eberstadt analyzes the population changes threatening the US, its allies, and its adversaries on the world stage. His research reveals that while China and Russia are confronting serious demographic challenges, the US is also battling negative life expectancy and lower education attainment trends, which pose a risk to its international leadership. Policymakers must address these risks and recognize that the future of the US-led international order may lie with the young and growing democracies of the developing world. Read more here.


ICYMI: In an AEI report, Nicholas Eberstadt notes that, surprising as it might sound, we already have a fairly reliable picture of China’s population profile for 2040, because the overwhelming majority of people who will be living in China in 2040 are already alive and living there today. Eberstadt explains that China’s population is on track to peak in the coming decade and decline at an accelerating tempo thereafter. These new demographic trends will make for serious economic headwinds, presaging the end of China’s era of “heroic economic growth.” Revisit the piece here.
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MODI'S NEW CHALLENGE IS URBANIZATION

6/9/2019

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Modi’s New Challenge Is Embracing Urbanization
Reihan Salam, The Atlantic

When Narendra Modi led his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to an outright parliamentary majority in 2014—a feat no party had been able to achieve in the previous 25 years of Indian politics—the hopes and expectations for his first term were straightforward, if lofty. Modi promised to build a “new India” that would curb corruption, spur economic growth, and advance the interests of the growing “neo–middle class” of erstwhile villagers striving to reinvent themselves as consumers. Read more here...
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SLAVE MARKETS & ISLAM

5/24/2019

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Painting of Muslim Men Sexually Enslaving White Women Triggers Outrage
by Raymond Ibrahim
PJ Media
May 15, 2019
https://www.meforum.org/58519/painting-muslims-enslaving-white-women
Tommy Robinson: 'Our Free Speech and Our Rights Are Disappearing in the UK'
Middle East Forum Sentry Radio
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