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EMERGING THREAT ASSESSMENT
GLOBAL STRIKE MEDIA.COM 
NORTH AMERICA 

BREXIT HAS DAMAGED ENGLAND'S POLITICAL CLASSES

4/30/2019

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New Party Rises In Britain To Rescue BrexitIt Leads the Polls for European Parliament, Our Diarist Reports
By STEPHEN MacLEAN, Special to the Sun | April 30, 2019
https://www.nysun.com/foreign/new-party-emerges-in-britain-to-rescue-brexit/90665/
'Help Wanted': A Leader To Win Brexit By STEPHEN MacLEAN, Special to the Sun | May 29, 2019
https://www.nysun.com/foreign/help-wanted-a-leader-to-win-brexit/90712/
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THE ISOLATION OF TURKEY

4/30/2019

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Poor Friendless Erdoğan   by Burak Bekdil
ASIA TIMES:  HOW PUTIN SEEKS TO TURN TURKEY
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IRAN ESCALATES, TRIPOLI BURNS & THE AFRICAN CONGO GETS IRANIAN AGENTS

4/26/2019

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  1. Iran may restart its nuclear program or escalate militarily against the U.S. and its partners in the coming weeks.
    • Revisit "Iran File: Iran's Nearing Dire Straits".

  2. The battle for Tripoli will continue, worsening a humanitarian crisis in Libya’s most populated region.
    • For more information, read "Al Qaeda and the Islamic State will be the winners of the Libyan civil war".

  3. The Islamic State’s announcement of a branch in the Democratic Republic of Congo signals an expansion of its global network but will have minimal effects on the ground.
    • For more information, revisit "The Islamic State is not defeated in Syria. Or anywhere else. Look at Africa".
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HOW KILL OFF TROIKYA OF TYRANNY THAT IS CENTRAL-SOUTH AMERICAN AXIS OF EVIL

4/25/2019

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The Monroe Doctrine for Venezuela  by Jiri Valenta
SHEPARD BARBASH  The Mexico Tragedy  America’s southern neighbor confronts metastasizing violence and institutional corruption that threaten its future.
‘Aeroterror’ is back in business — Team Trump should end it now
Emanuele Ottolenghi | Senior FellowMatthew Zweig | Senior Fellow
Nicaragua is the afterthought in Bolton’s ‘troika of tyranny’
Ryan C. Berg | AEIdeas 
As the fight to restore democracy in Nicaragua passes the one-year mark, US policy toward the Ortega regime appears captured by the idea that Havana holds the keys to control. Yet, there are policies that do not involve Havana that could restore electoral democracy in Nicaragua.
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VIDEO:  WHAT IS THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD, BROTHERHOOD EXILES IN SUDAN & US TRIES TO CONTAIN OMAN IN ALLIANCE

4/25/2019

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What Is the Muslim Brotherhood?  by Cynthia Farahat
April 24, 2019

https://www.meforum.org/58306/muslim-brotherhood

Muslim Brotherhood exiles from Egypt face uncertain future in Sudan
Egyptians affiliated with the Muslim Brotherhood who sought refuge in Sudan following the 2013 crackdown are worried about their fate now that President Omar al-Bashir has been ousted.
​Oman’s rising diplomatic role in Yemen met with mixed reaction in GCC
Oman's strategy of constructive engagement with the Houthis has been met with pushback from Saudi Arabia and the UAE.
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THE FUTURE OF THE CHINESE RUSSIAN ALLIANCE & HOW ASIA IS GROUND ZERO FOR ISLAMISM

4/25/2019

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The Future of the China-Russia Alliance
By Dr. James M. Dorsey, April 24, 2019
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Odds are that China and Russia will prove to be long-term US rivals. However, it may just as well be that their alliance will prove to be more tactical than strategic, with the China-Russia relationship resembling US-Chinese ties: cooperation in an environment of divergence rather than convergence.

Continue to full article ->
Asia Is the New Ground Zero for Islamist Terror
By Brahma Chellaney, The Strategist (ASPI):  "Radical Islamist groups, some affiliated with larger extremist networks, have been quietly gaining influence in an arc of countries extending from the Maldivian to the Philippine archipelagos, and the threat they pose can no longer be ignored."
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FRANCE HAS ITS OWN VERSION OF 9/11

4/16/2019

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Notre Dame in Flames
By MICHEL GURFINKIEL, Special to the Sun | April 15, 2019
https://www.nysun.com/foreign/notre-dame-in-flames/90651/

In emotional terms, the fire that destroyed Notre-Dame Cathedral in Paris can be described as the 9/11 of France. No matter what the cause may turn out to be. Like New York, which even in periods of war was supposed to be immune from foreign attacks, Paris was supposed to be spared irretrievable catastrophes, either civilian or military.
That ended for New York in 2001. The last time the capital of France suffered wide range destruction was the Franco-Prussian war of 1870 and 1871 and its revolutionary sequel, the Commune of Paris, which scorched the Royal Palace of Tuileries and of City Hall.

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European Churches: Vandalized, Defecated On, and Torched "Every Day"
by Raymond Ibrahim
Gatestone Institute
April 14, 2019

https://www.meforum.org/58238/european-churches
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FRENCH COUNTER-TERROR IN MALI & NEW DEVELOPMENT  MODELS FOR AFRICA AND ISLAMIC NATION STATES

4/13/2019

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Karen E. Young writes: Developing countries from Africa to the Middle East to Asia now have some interesting choices in development finance partners. Where the money comes from matters. […]Sudan’s windfall today will be tomorrow’s institutional challenge, to build open and rule-based markets that create jobs and provide food for its citizens. – AmericanEnterprise Institute
France reports major security operation in central Mali
French forces reportedly killed dozens of jihadists after a three-week long operation in central Mali.
U.S., AFRICA:
U.S. Military’s 36 Code-Named Operations in Africa

By Nick Turse & Sean Naylor, Yahoo News: “Between 2013 and 2017, U.S. special operations forces saw combat in at least 13 African countries, according to retired Army Brig. Gen. Don Bolduc, who served at U.S. Africa Command from 2013 to 2015 and then headed Special Operations Command Africa until 2017."
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D.C. FACES UP TO THREAT FROM CHINA (BRI)

4/11/2019

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Seth Cropsey writes: The goal of military forces in the nuclear age, particularly during a confrontation between nuclear-armed powers, must be to deter. But deterrence requires a commitment to fighting and winning a war.  Deterring China requires reversing current conventional attitudes – that American and allied ships, aircraft, and submarines will have nowhere to hide.  Investments in intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance, and targeting capabilities will demonstrate to China that the U.S. military is willing and able to take the fight to them. – Real Clear Defense
ASIA TIMES:  REFORMING THE BRI
CHINA'S CIVILIZATIONAL DIALOGUE WITH US BREAKING DOWN
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SALAFI JIHAID'S CONSOLIDATE WEST AFRIAN HOLD

4/10/2019

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THE HUNGARIAN RESISTANCE GROWS & STATUS OF SYRIA ISN'T GOOD FOR ASSAD

4/6/2019

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The Hungarian resistance
Clifford D. May — The Washington Times
Most people want to survive. What could be more natural than that? Most peoples want to survive, too. That’s no less natural. For a thousand years, the lands inhabited by the Hungarian people have been invaded, their settlements sacked, men, women and children enslaved and slaughtered. Mongols, Ottomans, Nazis and Soviets were among those who conquered and ruled the Hungarians. Somehow, they’ve survived. Hungarians today, a clear majority, believe their national existence — their unique identity, language, culture and traditions — is threatened again. This time, however, it is not by nomads on horseback or soldiers in tanks. It is by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the European Union.”... Read more
Diliman Abdulkader writes: In other words, ISIS is not defeated, and ISIS will likely reemerge. […]The SDF, SDC, and the 79-member Global Coalition has taken away Assad’s lifeline by holding on to northeast Syria. The Assad regime is cash-strapped; relieving the pressure now would be a grave mistake. Assad may have retaken large swaths of territory west of the Euphrates river, but most of Syria’s assets are east of the Euphrates. He needs to take them back, and the U.S. presence there blocks him from doing so. The U.S. should hold its ground. – Washington Examiner
Saving Northeastern Syria
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How Washington Can Help Strike a Deal Between Turkey and the Kurds
 Merve Tahiroglu | Research AnalystAndrew Gabel | Research Analyst
Michael Rubin writes: With the U.S. withdrawal from Syria off the table for now, and with the Turks recognizing that they cannot make an end-run against U.S. interests, negotiations now center on a buffer zone inside Syria to keep Kurdish forces away from the Turkish border. A buffer zone to separate the Turkish military and Kurdish forces might be a good idea, but if it is to succeed in its stated purpose rather than simply be cover for renewed Turkish ethnic cleansing, it should be on the Turkish side of the border rather than inside Syria. – Washington Examiner
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RWANDAN GENOCIDE AT 25

4/5/2019

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This weekend, Rwanda marks the 25th anniversary of the genocide that left some 800,000 mostly Tutsi people dead.
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NEW FORMS OF STATE CAPITALISM RISE IN MIDDLE EAST, CHINA & THE RISE OF SINO-RUSSIAN ALLIANCE AGAINST THE US

4/3/2019

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Russia Sees Its Future In China And Eurasia
with Michael McFaul via National InterestPutin’s ambitions reach beyond Russia’s near abroad and to the international system itself, in which it seeks to regain and retain its position as a great power.
Pulling up the ladder: State capitalism risks the next Careem
Karen Young | AEIdeas 
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are modeling a new kind of state capitalism for the Middle East and North Africa region. The long-term effects are unknown, but it is important to question whether the organic startup culture that cultivated the ride-sharing service Careem will survive to create opportunities for others.
China's Han Superstate: The New Third Reich  by Gordon G. Chang  •
U.S., AFRICA:
U.S. General Troubled by Russian Mercenaries in Africa

By Richard Sisk, Military.com: “Army Gen. Stephen Townsend, the nominee to head U.S. Africa Command, said Tuesday that the presence of Russian mercenaries in the Central African Republic is part of the effort by President Vladimir Putin to regain influence for Moscow in the Sub-Sahara."
 US general dismisses Chinese kit in Africa
(IHS Jane’s 360) The Chinese military equipment being acquired by African countries is not of a high quality, according to the US Army general nominated as the next commander of the US military's Africa Command. 
Are Russia and China really forming an alliance?
Leon Aron | Foreign Affairs 
The history of relations between the two countries is fraught, and they play vastly different roles in the world economy, making a divergence in their objectives all but unavoidable. In short, reports of a Russian-Chinese alliance have been greatly exaggerated.
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KILLING OFF HEZBOLLAH IN LATIN AMERICA

4/3/2019

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What the Trump administration should do in Latin America to go after Hezbollah
Pompeo Needs to Confront Paraguay’s Hezbollah Problem
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THE ARTICLES OF CONFEDERATION & STATE SOVEREIGNTY

4/1/2019

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The Articles of Confederation and State Sovereignty
By Nathan Coleman on Mar 31, 2019 10:00 pm
Article II of the Articles of Confederation codified that one of the purposes of the American Revolution was the protection of state
Read in browser »
The Nationalists at the Constitutional Convention
By Nathan Coleman on Apr 07, 2019 10:00 pm
Had the Nationalists carried the day in 1776 and turned the Continental Congress into a national government, implied powers would have been
Read in browser »
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    Peering into crystal ball; future of war
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    salafi-jihadi-ecosystem-in-the-sahel.pdf
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    BEYOND COUNTER-TERRORISM
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    HOW THE SALIFI-JIHADI MOVEMENT IS WINNING
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