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EMERGING THREAT ASSESSMENT
GLOBAL STRIKE MEDIA.COM 
NORTH AMERICA 

GROUND ZERO FOR JIHAD:  AFRICA

8/10/2022

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AEI:  SALIFI JIHADI MOVEMENT
The Underestimated Insurgency: African States at Risk for Salafi-Jihadi Insurgencies
Emily Estelle | American Enterprise Institute
The proliferation and expansion of African Salafi-jihadi groups will fuel regional disorder, humanitarian crises, and a persistent and likely increasing global terror threat.

Full Story
The Next Salafi-Jihadi Wave: Capabilities, Resources, and Opportunity
The Economic Cost of Terrorism in Africa
The Underestimated Insurgency: African States at Risk for Salafi-Jihadi Insurgencies
The Next Salafi-Jihadi Wave: Capabilities, Resources, and Opportunity​
​Confronting Islamist Insurgencies in Africa: The Case of the Islamic State in Mozambique
Combating the Islamic State’s Spread in Africa: Assessment and Recommendations for Mozambique
Collapsed Caliphate? Understanding the Islamic State in 2020
What Is the Sahel? | Define
Islamic State conducts second major prison break in Congo
US picks up pace of airstrikes in Somalia
Vasilis Petropoulos writes: Algeria is perhaps in the most critical period in its diplomatic history since the end of the civil war in the 1990s. Pressing challenges on one side and promising opportunities on the other form the current geopolitical environment. Algeria must recognize this, and that as the war in Ukraine continues to reshape broader multilateral relations, Algiers must determine whether it maintains neutrality or drifts further into the revisionist camp—a decision that will affect its position in the regional and the international systems. – Washington Institute
Ruodan Xu writes: Despite its many advantages and Western countries’ support, it is unlikely that India can replace China in the global manufacturing supply chain for the foreseeable future. […]Politically, India’s market restrictions make its business environment less favorable and decrease its industrial labor supply. Meanwhile, protectionist traditions hinder India’s ability to adopt an export-oriented growth model and integrate itself into the global supply chain. – The National Interest
Rupert Stone writes: Many expressed frustration with Pakistan’s role in the twenty-year Afghan conflict and must have hoped that the United States could finally hit delete on the relationship when the war ended. But Islamabad is now emerging as the closest thing the West has to a counterterrorism partner among Afghanistan’s immediate neighbors. – The National Interest
DB Des Roches writes: The battlefield success of the Patriot and THAAD systems is undeniable. These are truly game-changing weapons. But they still rely on trained and adaptable operators who can sense and understand developments in warfare and minimize the confusion of the battlefield. As always in warfare, the victory is dependent upon the soldier as well as his equipment. Hopefully, the professional development of regional air-defense forces will continue to keep pace with equipment improvements. – Middle East Institute
Israeli military forces killed Palestinian militant Ibrahim al-Nabulsi on Tuesday following a prolonged exchange of fire, along with another militant and a 16-year-old. At least 40 others were injured, including four in serious and critical condition, according to Palestinian reports. – Haaretz
  • WINEP's Matthew Levitt: Contending with IRGC plots
Nilofar Sakhi writes: The Taliban takeover has emboldened terrorist groups and provided a safe haven for their reorganization. Prominent terrorist groups include Tehrek-Taliban Pakistan, an alliance of militant networks with historically close ties to Al Qaeda; Jamaat Ansarullah, an Al Qaeda-linked terrorist organization in Tajikistan; and the Haqqani Network, which has ties to Al Qaeda and is one of the most lethal and sophisticated insurgent groups. – The National Interest
TIMES OF INDIA BLOG: VAJPAYEE & INDIA'S BJP
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GERMANY:  AT THE CROSSROADS. . . AGAIN; BIDEN'S IRAN DEAL DANGEROUS

8/1/2022

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Five Minutes from Disaster
The ‘forever war’ against the West
​
America wins a battle against al Qaeda, Israel against Islamic Jihad
GEOPOLITICAL MONITOR
“Win the War Before the War?”: A French Perspective on Cognitive Warfare, by David Pappalardo
States Take the Initiative
The already-high-stakes 2022 election season will also feature a host of state ballot measures on hot-button issues.
Chinese Leaders Know They Have No Claim to Taiwan
Michael Rubin | National Interest
Joe Biden’s top aides may encourage Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) to back down, but this would be a mistake.
Full Story

"It is nothing short of a strategic disaster that after spending nearly two decades of supporting the Taliban and celebrating their return to power in August 2021 as an instance of “breaking the chains of slavery”, 1/2 https://t.co/mUZDnZo9gT

— Yousuf Nazar (@YousufNazar) July 31, 2022
  • JPost's Seth J. Frantzman: Could Iran become a gas hub with Russian support?
If one wants to avoid the pitfalls of integralist or progressivie statism, De Regno’s vision of politics has much to teach us.
READ MORE ›
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    Peering into crystal ball; future of war
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    BEYOND COUNTER-TERRORISM
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    HOW THE SALIFI-JIHADI MOVEMENT IS WINNING
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