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EMERGING THREAT ASSESSMENT
GLOBAL STRIKE MEDIA.COM 
NORTH AMERICA 

FRAGILE STATE:  PAKISTAN

3/8/2023

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THE FRIDAY TIMES
Discussing China’s Foreign Policy
Sheena Chestnut Greitens | National Committee on US-China Relations
Five Years After a Disastrous Syria Battle, Wagner Is More Dangerous Than Ever
By Kyle Sajoyan, RealClearDefense: “The Defense Department’s top procurement official is taking aim at watchdog-type laws that are put in place to discourage corruption in government.”

Putin Truly Fears Russia’s Potential Rupture
By Paul Goble, Eurasia Daily Monitor: “In February 2023, when President Vladimir Putin referred to the possibility that not only the Russian Federation but also the Russian nation itself could disintegrate, commentators in both Moscow and the West agreed almost unanimously that he was engaged in a propaganda exercise rather than expressing his own views."
A Strategy of Denial for the Western Pacific
By Elbridge Colby, Proceedings: “China aspires to dominate the Indo-Pacific region—the impact of which would dramatically undermine Americans’ security, freedom, and prosperity. The only workable strategy is to deny China this goal. The naval services will play a central role."

We May Already be in a Cold War with China
By Joseph DeTrani, The Cipher Brief: "Although bilateral trade with China in 2022 increased to a record $690.6 billion, bilateral relations deteriorated to their lowest level since the normalization of relations in 1979."
Conflict Realism: 
A New School of Thought for Examining the Future of Armed Conflict

By Amos Fox, Strategy Bridge: “The future of armed conflict is a divisive topic in which competing camps and actors grapple to control the narrative."
Biden’s State Department ignores Iranian death plots inside America
Yair Albeck and Jonathan Schachter write: The place to begin is clear: renewed enforcement of U.S. sanctions against Iran and the activation of the JCPOA’s snapback mechanism, which would reimpose international sanctions and a ban on the transfer of arms to and from Iran. Doing so would help the United States achieve its goals — not just with Iran, but in Ukraine and around the world. – The Hill 

Jonathan Lis writes: “Iran started to break the agreement systematically only after the United States pulled out of it. It did so for two main reasons. Alongside the desire in principle to advance its nuclear abilities, the detected breaches were mostly tactical, to leverage pressures to resume the agreement and understanding the other side had breached the agreement anyway,” an Israeli official said. – Haaretz

Shaul Bartal writes: Actions by Islamic Jihad have the potential to aggravate the security situation and lead to suspension of Israel’s security cooperation with the Palestinian Authority, as occurred after the Jenin operation. Israeli decision-makers must understand the nature of the struggle and continue to act against Islamic Jihad’s entrenchment as a significant military force in the West Bank. This is essential in order to prevent the “unity of the fronts” that Iran is trying to achieve through the proxy organizations, with Islamic Jihad at the forefront. – Algemeiner
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