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U.S. UNDER BIDEN DOSEN'T DO DETERRENCE

3/21/2023

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Offshore Balancing: The British Analogy, 1688–1763

The Future of Conservative Internationalism

Expert Commentary on the 2022 National Security Strategy

Why the Monroe Doctrine Still Matters

Chinese influence in Latin America is growing. This poses a threat to vital US security interests in an underappreciated region.
The Monroe Doctrine warned against allowing hostile great powers fresh entry into the Western Hemisphere. It remains a timely warning 200 years later.
The Biden administration’s Latin America policy is informed by liberal guilt over Cold War legacies rather than by any clear strategy to counteract Chinese influence in the region.
The United States must renovate its Latin America policy in a way that takes seriously the expanding regional threat from China.

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U.S. WAR DOMINANCE QUESTIONED

3/17/2023

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Russia Is Fueling China’s Nuclear Weapons Expansion

Wagner Group And The IRGC: The Rise Of Self-Sustaining Military Proxies
The Black Sea Strategic Triangle In 2023 And Beyond
John Taylor: Where Should The Fed Funds Rate Be To Combat Inflation?
Persuasion, Coercion, and Compellence
China Has Three Roads to Taiwan: The US Must Block Them All
Nine Recommendations to Presidential Candidates on China Policy

China’s brokerage of the agreement to restore ties between Saudi Arabia and Iran is a major turning point for the Middle East. But, Beijing may find its regional relations undermined if implementation of the deal fails

U.S., Iran May Be Negotiating Payoff for American Hostages

The National Interest’s Leon Hadar: China wants to bring peace to the Middle East? Good luck with that

Deterring a Chinese Military Attack on Taiwan

Discussing China's Three Roads to Taking Taiwan

According to Dan Blumenthal and Frederick W. Kagan, China has three roads to victory over Taiwan, and the US must act urgently to obstruct all of them.

Zach Cooper on A New China Playbook

Annika Ganzeveld, Zachary Coles, Amin Soltani, Kitaneh Fitzpatrick, and Frederick W. Kagan write: Iranian officials have also emphasized the importance of indoctrinating and ideologizing the population, frequently calling on educational institutions and the media to “explain the issues related to hijab and chastity.” These policies do not address Iranian grievances about the government’s inability to stabilize the Iranian economy, disregard for the rights of women and religious minorities, and crackdown on civil liberties such as freedom of speech. – Institute for the Study of War

Brandon Patterson and Dino Bozonelos write: Thus, however iniquitous they believed it to be, British leaders concluded that a relatively intact Turkish empire was vital to holding back a Russian drive toward the straits, and ultimately the Middle East. Liberalism was forced to compromise given the geopolitical realities. Britain’s defense of Turkey did not imply any degree of ideological approbation or compatibility of domestic institutions, nor did it require an alliance—the arrangement was pragmatic and conditional. The United States will be obliged to make similar calculations moving forward, wherein Turkey is neither entirely adversarial nor an ally, but something in between. – The National interest

How Iran’s Regime Is Threatened by Its Clerics

The Axis of Tyrannies

Deal Or No Deal

It Is Time For A New Hezbollah Policy

Who Is Poisoning Iranian Schoolgirls?

A Year After Germany’s “Sea Change,” Policy Change Remains Elusive, by George Bogden

Iran, China and the Panama Canal: Is the US Being Encircled? by Lawrence A. Franklin

The Reagan Institute released its first National Security Innovation Base Report Card report card,
The report card's advice for the Pentagon:

"Foster stronger relationships with the private investment community.
"Scale up workforce development programs to increase domestic STEM output and skilled trades.
"Establish additional mechanisms to increase the foreign talent pipeline for critical national security technologies.
"Create additional technology-focused international alliances and partnerships.
"Make bigger, bolder, more flexible investments in new capabilities."

"Big Tech” Is a Big Deal in the Strategic Competition with China
Klon Kitchen | AEIdeas
Technology has always been a key variable in geostrategic change. Klon Kitchen notes that to fully leverage the private sector’s capability, the US must deliberately address three key challenges to the American science and technology enterprise. First, America must confront Chinese technological theft and aggression. Second, the US must help allies understand that a strategy of “regulate first and ask questions later” will hurt—not help—the West and risk ceding the advantage to Beijing. Finally, facts and geopolitical realities must constrain domestic debates about technology and innovation. Ultimately, Western tech companies and the US government must recognize that the long-term interests of both are better served through national security partnerships. Continue here.>>

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WAR-GAMING CHINA: THE RESULTS

3/15/2023

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https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan

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CHINA BEGINS WAR PREP

3/2/2023

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How China Understands and Assesses Military Balance
China sees itself as the weaker side in the overall military balance with the United States, largely because it has made only limited progress in the key areas that will define future warfare. Those include informatization and system-of-systems–based operations.
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The Three Vladimir Putins

Protests across Iran as schoolgirl poisonings spread nationwide
The chain of suspected poisoning attacks on girls' schools continued unabated, prompting furious Iranians to chant against authorities who are scrambling for answers.

The Importance Of Putting Aside The Personal In US-Saudi Relations

Our Christophobic Ruling Caste

The Black Sea

IAEA chief heads to Tehran, as Iran's 83.7% enrichment triggers alarm

Turkey's economy grows 5.6% in 2022, but labor’s income share shrinks

Saudi Arabia moves forward with bids for nuclear plant
The kingdom has received bids to build its first nuclear power plant and South Korea is reportedly expressing interest.

CHINA LASERS HAWAII

Tehran Regime Targets U.S. Homeland -- Kill Lists and Kidnappings by Benjamin Weinthal
Fox News
March 1, 2023
https://www.meforum.org/64206/tehran-regime-targets-us-homeland-kill-lists

AFGHAN POLICY TRAP Read more »
The U.S. 'Policy Trap' in Afghanistan: A Look Back

Ambassador L. Paul Bremer III on Iraq: Twenty Years After the Fall of Saddam Hussein
by Marilyn Stern
Middle East Forum Webinar
February 24, 2023
https://www.meforum.org/64205/ambassador-l-paul-bremer-iii-on-iraq-twenty-years

Rethinking Assumptions About China
By Robert Peters, RealClearDefense: "If the war in Ukraine is teaching the United States anything, it is that great powers can unexpectedly suffer battlefield defeat because expectations and assumptions about their military prowess are outdated."

John Roy Price’s memoir of welfare policy under Richard Nixon is a time capsule of policy and politics.
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In our eagerness to appreciate sexual difference, it is important not to reduce women to something less than what they are.
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geography & strategy
global strike media

U.S. UNDER BIDEN DOSEN'T DO DETERRENCE

U.S. WAR DOMINANCE QUESTIONED

WAR-GAMING CHINA: THE RESULTS

CHINA BEGINS WAR PREP

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U.S. UNDER BIDEN DOSEN'T DO DETERRENCE

U.S. WAR DOMINANCE QUESTIONED

WAR-GAMING CHINA: THE RESULTS

CHINA BEGINS WAR PREP

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geography & strategy
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