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geography & strategy 
global strike media

BETWEEN DIPLOMACY AND WAR ALIGNING ENDS AND MEANS IN THE INDO-PACIFIC; hoover's strategika on china

4/20/2020

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Win Without Fighting
By Hunter Stires, Proceedings: “The United States is devoting significant energy to preparing for great power war, but China is waging a maritime insurgency—and could win without firing a shot."
Towards a Concept of Good Civilian Guidance by Alice Hunt Friend and Mara Karlin
The Nonsense of “Neo-Ottomanism” by Nicholas Danforth
Adi Schwartz: Western Indulgence of Palestinian 'Refugee' Claims Obstructs Peace
by Gary C. Gambill
May 31, 2020

https://www.meforum.org/60812/adi-schwartz-how-western-indulgence-of-palestine
Russian Influence Grows in Central Asia
By Kseniya Kirillova, Eurasia Daily Monitor: "Russian influence in Central Asia is not limited to increasing economic integration. As early as October 2015, experts at the Minsk Center for Strategic and Foreign Political Research insisted that Russia was preparing a destabilization scenario intended to encourage conflict among the key governments and forces of the region."
Nuclear Fuel Working Group Recommends Key Steps to Safeguard U.S. Uranium Supply
STRATEGIKA:  CHINA
Aligning America’s ends and means in the Indo-Pacific
Cutting Carriers, Undermining the Most Useful U.S. Warfighting System
By Loren Thompson, Forbes: "Defense News reported this week that a Pentagon office has proposed reducing the number of aircraft carriers in the U.S. fleet from eleven to nine. That may not sound like much, but in operational terms it means that on a typical day the Navy would only be able to have two or three carriers forward deployed near global hot spots."
Strategy And The Continental Commitment
by Williamson Murray via Military History in the News
In the 1930s, the British military pundit B. H. Liddell Hart argued that Britain’s participation in the First World War with a massive commitment to France to fight the Germans had been a terrible mistake. Instead, he argued, Britain, as it had supposedly done in the eighteenth and early nineteenth century, should have committed minimal forces to the continent and used its army and navy to attack Germany on the periphery. Liddell Hart’s arguments represented a rephrasing of the “blue water” school in British strategic thinking which had argued that Britain should focus almost entirely on the Royal Navy to the exclusion of spending any resources or committing any troops on the European Continent.
Measuring Power, Power Cycles, and the Risk of Great-Power War
Growing concern that U.S. power has been declining relative to that of Russia and China renews long-standing questions about how we should measure national power. Which nations have the most? Which are gaining and losing power, and when might these shifts portend conflict? Read more »
It's Time to Make a Full and Enduring Commitment to Iraq
American interests will suffer if strategic competition in Iraq is abandoned. U.S. policymakers should pursue a commitment to Iraq before opportunities are lost. The best way to establish that commitment is through robust, long-term, small-footprint assistance to the Iraqi Army. Read more »
'Quad Plus' Meetings Won't Cover China
The “Quad” countries met with several non-Quad countries to help each other amid the coronavirus pandemic. For all the good that can come of these countries working together, the Quad Plus, if sustained, may eventually jeopardize the Quad's primary mission: to counter China's assertiveness in the Indo-Pacific. Read more »
U.S. Views Of China Plunge During Corona Crisis
by Michael R. Auslin via Real Clear Politics
A new poll by the Pew Research Center provides the clearest snapshot yet of the collapse in American views of China thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic. Taken March 3-29, the big takeaway from the survey of 1,000 adults is that 66% now have a negative view of China, compared with 26% favorable. That is a 20% jump in unfavorable ratings since 2017 and a 6% rise since last year. 
The Rhymes of History: Beijing’s Nightmare Strategic Scenarios
By Michael Colebrook, Strategy Bridge: "History does not repeat itself. With the exception of general platitudes about the permanence of international tension and the sporadic recurrence of violent conflict, statements about historical patterns and cycles of warfare can at best lead to historiographical confirmation bias and, at worst, can prejudice policymakers into taking counterproductive and unnecessary escalatory measures."
(What’s Left of) Our Economy: Why Rare Earths Independence is At Least as Important as Energy Independence
Lebanon, Hezbollah, and COVID-19
The Rise of the Liberal World Order
By Samantha A. Taylor, War Room: "Many foreign policy and international relations experts are expressing concern about the future of the liberal world order."

Undersea Deterrence and Strategic Competition in the Indo-Pacific
By Rory Medcalf, The Strategist (ASPI): "Amid rapid geopolitical change at the start of the 2020s, unfolding now in the Covid-19 crisis, nuclear weapons manifest grim continuity with the previous century. Especially persistent is a capability that has existed since the 1960s: the deployment of nuclear weapons on submarines."

Getting the Pacific Deterrence Initiative Right
By Benjamin Rimland & Patrick Buchan, The Diplomat: “The PDI will undoubtedly set the groundwork for U.S. defense posture in Asia for the foreseeable future. Getting it right matters."

What We Can Learn Today From the Victory of the Osama bin Laden Raid
By William H. McRaven & Michael Leiter, The Washington Post: "For those of us who played a small part in the mission that led to bin Laden’s death, this anniversary reminds us of something else: how to best protect our country."
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SUN TZU'S EQUAL HAS DIED:  COLIN S. GRAY & MCMASTER REVEALS HOW CHINA SEES THE WORLD

4/6/2020

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Colin S. Gray: A Reminiscence by David J. Lonsdale
On Deterrence, Defense and Arm Control:  In Honor of Colin S. Gray
By Keith B. Payne, National Institute for Public Policy: "The scope and breadth of Colin’s curiosity and writing far transcended any single topic.  This brief discussion focuses only on a single enduring area of his scholarly interest:  deterrence theory, policy and associated strategic force considerations, including arms control."
RIP Dave Dilegge
By Dave Dilegge, Small Wars Journal: "Dave Dilegge passed away Saturday morning. It's a shock to his family and a great loss to our small wars community."
Dave Dilegge, the ‘grandfather of urban warfare studies,’ has died
(Military Times) For Dave Dilegge, the days usually started at 3 a.m. as he began to scour the internet for the latest military and national security news he’d compile for Small Wars Journal.
The Evolving Nature of War
By Douglas J. Feith & Shaul Chorev, National Institute for Public Policy: "Throughout history, wars generally hinged on clashes of arms. To win, a party had to defeat its enemy’s military forces. For the United States since the Vietnam War of the 1960s and 1970s, however, the only conflict of this conventional model was the Gulf War of 1990-91."
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Colin Gray and the Revival of Classical Geopolitics
By Francis P. Sempa, RealClearDefense: "Colin S. Gray, who died in late February after a long battle with cancer, was one of the great strategic thinkers of our time. He authored more than 30 books and 300 articles, founded the National Institute for Public Policy, served as a defense advisor to American Presidents and British Prime Ministers, and taught international relations and strategic studies at the University of Reading in England."
India and Pakistan Exchange Fire with Sameer Lalwani
How China Sees The World
by H. R. McMaster via The Atlantic
And how we should see China.
Im-Politic: Biden’s Massive China Fakery
Deterrence, Norms, and the Uncomfortable Realities of a New Nuclear Age by Gerald C. Brown
Defining Defeat
By Kevin Benson, Strategy Bridge: " Defining such a term in doctrine is critical when attempting to link tactical actions to conditions that attain policy objectives. In essence, doctrine, while not dogma or regulation, guides thinking about warfare."
The Importance of the Strategic Level: Germany in the Second World War
By Lorris Beverelli, Strategy Bridge: "It is widely agreed that there are three levels of war. From the general to the local, they are the strategic, operational, and tactical levels. Strategy, simply defined, is the alignment of means and ways to accomplish a political end. Strategy is about obtaining success from war through a clearly defined theory of victory. Each level of war is essential to obtain this success, and are all equally important."
A Look at Strategic Geography for Pacific Defense:
Putting the Chinese Military Challenge Into Strategic Context

By Robbin Laird, DEFENSE.info: Notably, it has not led with the use of military power as its key instrument, but has combined manufacturing growth, supply chain dominance (enabled by the Western approach to globalization), investments within the West and the Third World, along with sophisticated means for political influence and information warfare."
 
Sun Tzu and the Coronavirus
By Tunku Varadarajan, Hoover Institution: " A real question in Chinese literature, Ms. Nylan says, is what you do with bad news. “And this is right across the board. The Confucian ‘Analects’ talks about this, the Daoist philosopher Zhuangzi talks about this, and Sun Tzu does, too.”"
The Navy’s Crisis of Special Trust and Confidence by Doyle Hodges
Reimagine the ARG/MEU Team
By Andrew Roscoe, Proceedings: "The amphibious ready group (ARG) and Marine expeditionary unit (MEU) construct is a holdover from the Cold War that is failing to keep pace with 21st-century conflict and the needs of combatant commanders."
Cooperative Deployments:
An Indispensable Tool for Preparing for the High-End Fight

By David Wallsh & Eleanore Douglas, CIMSEC: “Chief of Naval Operations (CNO) Admiral Gilday’s December 2019 Fragmentary Order (FRAGO), “Design for Maintaining Maritime Superiority,” emphasizes the importance of building alliances and partnerships to enhance U.S. warfighting capability, with a particular focus on “full interoperability at the high end of naval warfare.”"

Three Reasons Air Advising is Essential to America’s National Defense Strategy
By Ryan Hill, Small Wars Journal: "The U.S. Air Force has five historic and strategic core missions: Air and Space Superiority, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR), Rapid Global Mobility, Global Strike, and Command and Control (C2). These missions have served the nation well over the decades; however, as America changes its defense strategy, more may be required of its air service."
Strengthening Central Asian Security
By Stephen Blank, RealClearDefense: "Central Asia lives in a dangerous neighborhood.  It is situated between two resurgent empires: Russia and China.  It includes Afghanistan in its borders, and despite the February 29 agreement between the U.S. and the Taliban, the Taliban broke the treaty within 72 hours.  Therefore, Central Asian governments are all conducting what has been called a multi-vector foreign policy to balance between Moscow, Beijing, the EU in Brussels, Washington, and other players like Japan, South Korea, and India."
It Was Grand, But Was it Strategy?
Revisiting the Origins Story of Grand Strategy

By David Morgan-Owen, Strategy Bridge: "Recalling the experience of working on the grand strategy volumes of the British Government’s official history of the Second World War, Sir Michael Howard remarked that “the editor never told me what Grand Strategy was, and none of my colleagues seem to have asked.” Finding no definition of the term, Howard was obliged to make up his own."
FOREIGN AFFAIRS:  THE END OF GRAND STRATEGY
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THE WHITE HOUSE'S 5G STRATEGY REVEALED

4/5/2020

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Why Was the U.S. So Late to Recognize the China Threat
By Bradley A. Thayer & Lianchao Han, RealClearDefense: "The recent who-is-weak-on-China verbal war between Biden and Trump captures a fundamental issue in the 2020 race:  how to confront China."
U.S., CHINA:
U.S. Tightens China Export Controls on Military Use Concerns

By Ankit Panda, The Diplomat: "The United States Department of Commerce's Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) announced new rules on Tuesday that will tighten the export of certain sensitive technologies to end-users in China on fears that they might find their way into use by the Chinese armed forces."
White House Releases National Strategy for 5G Security
By Brandi Vincent, NextGov: "The strategy focuses on four lines of effort and will guide how the government approaches 5G for the near future."
Non-Traditional Defense Companies – Unique Military Capabilities
By Dan Gouré, RealClearDefense: "The idea is that DoD acquisition can benefit not only from access to the unique products such companies produce but from their alternative approaches to design, production and sustainment."
Killing for the Republic
By Paul Johstono, Strategy Bridge: "What are the relationships between citizen-soldiers, civic virtue, and patriotism?"
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