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geography & strategy 
global strike media

THE U.S. PREPARES FOR A PACIFIC WAR WITH B2 & INDIA'S STRATEGIC EXPANSION IN PACIFIC ISLANDS

6/29/2018

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 India’s strategic expansion in the Pacific islands
(The Diplomat) As India’s politico-military orientation is adjusting to the change in the United States’ Command structure and geostrategic orientation from the Asia-Pacific to Indo-Pacific, the region of Pacific Islands will get more strategic attention from India. 
The Next Pacific War
By Ben Ho Wan Beng & Gary Lehmann, Breaking Defense: "Expeditionary Advanced Base Operations (EABO) is the new Navy-Marine Corps concept for using land units forward-deployed ashore to help win a naval war. EABO is intended to turn the tables on our adversaries’ Anti-Access/Area Denial (A2/AD) strategies."
The Next Pacific War: Lessons From Wake Island For The PLA
US nuke gravity bomb completes test on B2 bomber
BY ASIA TIMES STAFF
New modification part of ambitious effort to replace existing nuclear arsenal

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HOOVER'S STRATEGIKA ON STRATEGY OF NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION & MISSILE DEFENSE

6/25/2018

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Strategika Issue 51: Nuclear Proliferation
via Strategika
Strategika Issue 51 is now available online. Strategika is an online journal that analyzes ongoing issues of national security in light of conflicts of the past—the efforts of the Military History Working Group of historians, analysts, and military personnel focusing on military history and contemporary conflict.
Beware Greeks Bearing Gifts: Strategic Competition And The North Korea Talks
by Thomas Karako via Strategika
The United States has long been committed to stemming the further proliferation of nuclear weapons among both potential adversaries and friends alike. As the recent Nuclear Posture Review observes, “nuclear non-proliferation today faces acute challenges.” The current locus of this challenge is in northeast Asia.
Michael McFaul: Siegfried Hecker On Denuclearization
interview with Michael McFaul via World Class
Hoover Institution fellow Michael McFaul interviews Dr. Siegfried Hecker, the former director of the Los Alamos National Laboratory, concerning the logistical challenges of denuclearization, how the North Korean case is different from Iran, and what scenarios to watch for as the US contemplates a new relationship with the North Koreans.
Trump Was Right To Leave The Iran Nuclear Deal
quoting Stephen Kotkin via Eurasia Review
Historian Stephen Kotkin said in Foreign Affairs, “The arc of history bends towards delusion.” Nowhere is that more clearly seen than in the delusional prognostications experts and policymakers have taken towards President Trump leaving the Iran nuclear deal, otherwise known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). National security, foreign policy, and realist balancing are under assault by emotions and groupthink instead of careful, factual analysis.
What Trumps the Nuclear Blackmail Card? Missile Defense 
By Sue Ghosh Stricklett, RealClearDefense: “Nuclear blackmail, a card often played by rogue regimes in diplomatic negotiations, is rendered ineffective by the U.S. ballistic missile defense system.”
 How the DoD is synchronizing missile defense systems
(C4ISRNET) In April the Missile Defense Agency announced a successful missile defense tracking exercise at White Sands Missile Range, New Mexico. Subsequent events have given the test particular weight. 
Here’s what’s in Lockheed’s latest Aegis contract
(Defense News) The contract is financially backed by a consortium of international buyers, as the U.S. and its allies continue to modernize the sea-based ballistic missile defense capability. 

Pentagon Resists Push for $1B Submarine Down Payment
By Tony Capaccio, Bloomberg: “The Pentagon and the top Republican House lawmaker overseeing defense spending are united in opposing an effort to shift $1 billion from other defense projects into a down payment on two additional Virginia-class submarines that wouldn’t be put under contract until 2022 and 2023.”
Air Force Needs Army's Help to Best Russia's S-400 Missile Battery
By Oriana Pawlyk, DoD Buzz: “"Part of the emphasis with our multi-domain operations that we're doing with the Army is trying to find ways that we can defeat these systems together, so that we can get in there faster and be more effective sooner."”
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STALIN'S GRAND STRATEGY FOR CHINA & THE KOREA'S

6/25/2018

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Stalin’s master play in Korea was aimed at dividing China
BY ANDREW SALMON
Weakening the US was another ploy by Stalin as surprising new light is cast on the 68th anniversary of the outbreak of the Korean War

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DENUCLEARIZATION OF ROGUE REGIMES:  LESSONS LEARNED

6/24/2018

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RETHINKING GRAND STRATEGY & NAVIGATING THE 4TH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION

6/21/2018

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Rethinking Grand Strategy
By Peter Layton, Small Wars Journal: “Grand strategy has a bad wrap but it’s not the concept’s doing. A perception has developed that the National Security Strategy (NSS) and grand strategy are the same.”

Navigating the Fourth Industrial Revolution 
By Troy E. Mitchell, Strategy Bridge: “Inter-service competitive pressures and innovation by defense contractors, intertwined with the differences in innovation spending between defense contractors and technology giants, demonstrate aspects of innovation erosion, a consequence of the competing pressures to maintain the United States’ technological edge and military dominance.”
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THE UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES OF LIMITED, PREVENTIVE WAR & SOCRATES AS MILITARY ANALYST

6/20/2018

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From Fire and Fury to Flattery: An Unintended Consequence of Preventive War
By Mark Hannah, RealClearDefense: “China wants to keep North Korea as a buffer between its territory and U.S. allies, so this provides an implicit security guarantee.
Socrates the Military Analyst? 
By Tom Ricks, Task & Purpose: “I knew that Socrates had been a soldier, and had a distinguished record in combat in the Peloponnesian War. But I didn’t realize that in the works of Xenophon he actually does some military analysis, particularly in describing the attributes of a good general.”

The Rise of Russia's Military 
By Dave Majumdar, The National Interest: “The president of the United States can, in theory, launch nuclear war by personal decision—without any checks or balances.”
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WHY SOUTH KOREA CAN'T DEFENSE ITSELF & WHY CHARACTER IN LEADERSHIP MATTERS

6/19/2018

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The Character of a Leader: Crucial to National Security 
By William A. Adler, RealClearDefense: “Now, in 21st century America, we endow many of our elected leaders with authorities and power the ancient Greeks only ascribed to their gods.”
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LEO TOLSTOY:  NAPOLEON AS A SLAVE TO HISTORY

6/16/2018

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Leo Tolstoy’s Napoleon: Slave of History
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TOP 10 TURKISH - RUSSIAN WARS & A U.S. PERMANENT PRESENCE IN POLAND

6/16/2018

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10 Most Important Russo-Turkish Wars 
By Brandon Christensen, RealClearHistory: “From the late 16th century to the end of World War I - a span of roughly 350 years - the Russians and the Turks fought each other in contests for imperial dominance over the Balkans, the Black Sea, the Caucasus, and the straits of the Bosporus and Dardanelles.”​
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MACHINE STRATEGISTS:  OUR DISMAL FUTURE

6/16/2018

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Machine Strategists & the Future of Military Operations 
By Thomas Keelan, RealClear Defense: “Machine learning is coming soon to a conflict near you. When it does, its real impact will not be felt in merciless Terminator robots...
Applying a Generalised Strategic Thinking Model 
By Leon Young & Timothy Keeffe, Small Wars Journal: “...despite the touted importance of both strategy and strategic thinking, the majority of CEOs cited the "lack of strategic thinking as the main problem in their organizations."
‘On Grand Strategy’ 
By Stephen Loosley, The Strategist (ASPI): “From Sun Tzu to Clausewitz, and from Herodotus to Leo Tolstoy (with honourable mentions given to the likes of Machiavelli and St Augustine), Gaddis draws both insight and inspiration from thinkers of consequence.
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AMERICA'S BYZANTINE STRATEGY & PUTIN'S STRATEGIC OUTLOOK

6/14/2018

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America’s Byzantine Strategy 
By Michail Ploumis, War Room: “The U.S. can do worse than emulate the strategy of an empire that survived for a thousand years.
Russia’s Strategy for Great Power Competition 
By Michael Kofman, War on the Rocks: “Russian leaders may not have something that would satisfy the Western academic strategy community as a deliberate “grand strategy,” but they nonetheless possess a strategic outlook and a theory of victory for this competition.”
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MACKINDER  VS.  MAHAN:  THE INDO-PACIFIC & THE SOUTH CHINA SEA

6/5/2018

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Implementing the Indo-Pacific strategy 
Zack Cooper | AEIdeas
Indo-Pacific Versus Asia–Pacific As Mackinder Faces Mahan
By Graeme Dobell, The Strategist (ASPI): “The Trump national security strategy and companion national defense strategy use ‘Indo-Pacific’, with zero sightings of the Asia–Pacific. ‘Mesmerising’, says the region.
Expanding the Intellectual Capital on Challenges: China 
By Paul Morris, Strategy Bridge: “In western civilization, the classics of military strategy are often cited but rarely read. In contrast, Luo Guanzhong’s classic Three Kingdoms forms a subconscious foundation for the masses in eastern civilization to discuss strategy.”

Who Lost the South China Sea? 
By Brahma Chellaney, The Strategist (ASPI): “U.S. Defense Secretary Jim Mattis has spoken out against China’s strategy of ‘intimidation and coercion’ in the South China Sea, including the deployment of anti-ship missiles, surface-to-air missiles and electronic jammers, and, more recently, the landing of nuclear-capable bomber aircraft at Woody Island. There are, Mattis warned, ‘consequences to China ignoring the international community.’”
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IS THE U.S. UP TO COUNTER POLITICAL WARFARE

6/1/2018

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US Needs New Strategy Vs. Russian, Chinese ‘Political Warfare’: CSBA
A Distracted U.S. Struggles To Shift Its Global Focus
By Benjamin Weinthal, The Jerusalem Post: “Although Washington has recognized the emergence of this new great power competition and begun acting accordingly, several flashpoints could distract the United States and tie up its resources and focus.
How Can the U.S. Defeat North Korea’s 'Attack Diplomacy'? 
By T.S. Allen & Luke J. Schumacher, Modern War Institute: “As the two sides flesh out the details of the agreement committed to in Singapore, U.S. negotiators will have to counter North Korean “attack diplomacy” to make a deal that will last and achieve its objectives.”

Strategic Attacks and Their Fallout 
By Richard Betts & Adam Dietrich, War Room: “Success stories, such as the thwarting of probable attacks, are far more numerous but attract less attention. What does this mean for intelligence professionals?”
Jim Mattis: Putin seeks to ‘compromise our belief in our ideals’
(Washington Examiner) Defense Secretary Jim Mattis accused Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday of working to undermine American values and destroy the Western alliance that has acted as a counterweight to the Kremlin since the end of the Cold War.
The Bear’s Side of the Story: Russian Political and Information Warfare 
By Tyler Quinn, Strategy Bridge: “Revisionist powers continue to stress the post-Cold War global construct. According to Walter Russell Meade, “In very different ways, with very different objectives, China, Iran, and Russia are all pushing back against the political settlement of the Cold War.””
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ENVELOPING PUTIN'S SOUTHERN TIER:  GETTING GEORGIA INTO NATO

6/1/2018

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  How to admit Georgia to NATO — without triggering a war
(DefenseOne) As NATO prepares for its summit in July, the issue of enlarging the Alliance will be sure to come up — and in particular, the case of Georgia. This year marks the 10th anniversary of the Bucharest Summit, at which NATO promised eventual membership to the South Caucasus country. 

 
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JAPAN STEPS UP FOR REGIONAL CONNECTIVITY

6/1/2018

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 A little-noticed player goes big in the Indo-Pacific
(War On The Rocks) While many eyes are on China’s port investments in the Indian Ocean, Japan has also been busy. The scale of its infrastructure investments in the region rivals, and sometimes exceeds, that of China. 
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PENTAGON CAN "TAKE-DOWN" CHINA'S ISLANDS IN SOUTH CHINA SEA & RUSSIAN WAR DOCTRINES ON DECEPTION DENIABILITY

6/1/2018

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Pentagon says U.S. can 'take down' man-made islands like those in South China Sea
(TIME) Amid heightened tensions brewing between China and the U.S. military in the South China Sea, a Pentagon official on Thursday said the military has experience “taking down” small islands.
 Russia’s military doctrine of deception and deniability
(The Cipher Brief) The Kremlin walks a fine line between escalation with the West and the gradual growth of influence abroad.
CHINA: J-20, J-16 and J-10C Armed and Ready 
From Military Watch: “China’s People’s Liberation Army (PLA)’s three most advanced serving combat aircraft, the ‘4++ generation’ J-10C and J-16 and the fifth generation J-20, took part in joint nighttime combat exercises in the early June 2018.
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