China Expands its Peace and Security Footprint in Africa
Michael Kovrig, ICG
Geopolitical forces are perpetuating instability
All of Afghanistan's immediate neighbors have traditionally competed with each other for influence over the landlocked country and intervened to protect and advance their national interests. No regional or extra-regional state has the power to truly impose its will on Afghanistan, but they are surely able to sabotage anything they perceive to be a threat to their national interests. They have failed in their efforts to establish democracy and strengthen Afghanistan's institutions and now...
Under the Missile’s Shadow: What Does the Passing of the INF Treaty Mean? by Michael Kofman
It’s Time to Make a New Deal: Solving the INF Treaty’s Strategic Liabilities to Achieve U.S. Security Goals in Asia by Scott A. Cuomo
Trump Is Right to Leave The INF Nuclear Treaty
// Kori Schake
Despite sensible objections, the US could benefit, and it's hard to see how Russia ever would comply.
The U.S. will outspend any other nation in building up its nuclear arsenal, President Donald Trump said, in a fresh challenge to Russia and China. “We have more money than anybody else, by far. We’ll build it up,” Trump said after being asked late Monday if he was prepared to build up the U.S.’s nuclear arsenal. “Until they come to their senses. When they do, then we’ll all be smart and we’ll all stop.” – Bloomberg
The Future of Strategy
By Von Lambert, Strategy Bridge: “Gray’s work on the foundations and future of strategy is extremely useful to those seeking both a definition and the common influences such as motive and politics on its formulation.”
Terrorism in Civil Wars
By Suman Soni, Strategy Bridge: “Concerning civil wars, research has shown that many characteristics and motivators have changed since the collapse of the Soviet Union.”
Chinese Anti-Submarine Warfare: Platforms, Strategy, and Doctrine
By Rick Joe, The Diplomat: “The PLAN’s ASW strategy can be viewed in a similar way as the PLAN’s overall naval strategy, by dividing missions as either “regional” or “blue water.””
The U.S. Army is Updating its Missile Defense Strategy
By Jen Judson, Defense News: “The U.S. Army is in the throes of updating its air-and-missile defense strategy to align with the Pentagon's conviction that the military must modernize and overmatch its near-peer adversaries Russia and China.”
Horatio Nelson and the Role of Confidence in Military Genius
By John T. Kuehn, The Strategy Bridge: “The great self-expectations of the United States’ military leadership cadre, both junior and senior, can underwrite American excellence in command. In other words, superior leadership remains essential to a superior military.”
THE QUAD GROWS AGAINST CHINA, HOOVER LOOKS AT GREAT POWER RIVALRY & DUNFORD SPEAKS ABOUT CHINA, RUSSIA
The Coming Storm: Ethics in the Next War
By Joseph O. Chapa, Strategy Bridge: “The strategic demands of a great power war with a peer-adversary—the high-end conflict—will inevitably push decision-makers to the pale of that which is ethically permissible.”
Military History Workshop Explores Great Power Rivalries
via Hoover Daily Report
Great power rivalries are replacing the post-Cold War global order, with some nations rising while others are declining, according to Hoover Institution military historians.
Will America Shape Its Grand Strategy Around China or Russia?
// Reihan Salam The debate doesn't just have consequences for U.S. foreign policy—it will define the next decades of domestic affairs as well.
Proxy Wars and the Demise of Conventional Warfighting
By Andrew Maher, The Strategist (ASPI): “The increasing cost of high-tech capabilities, coupled with today’s risk-averse polity, means our most effective platforms are less likely to be employed in a high-threat environment.”
Victor Davis Hanson: US Strategy On China, Great Powers
via Hoover Daily Report
The United States should use a strategy of power, alliances, and triangulation to best navigate the emerging world of “great power” rivalries, Hoover scholar Victor Davis Hanson says.
An Assessment of the Iranian Ballistic Missile Arsenal and Regional Preparedness
By Miguel Miranda, Divergent Options: “As battle lines are drawn across the Middle East, the U.S. is sinking deeper into a protracted struggle with the Islamic Republic of Iran. But any plans to confront the neighborhood’s penultimate rogue actor don’t acknowledge its single greatest capability—an enormous ballistic missile stockpile that can strike the capital cities and military bases of its enemies.
HUMINT Isn’t Dead, It Just Smells That Way. Time For Us To Learn From the Past
By Caesar Kalinowski, Task & Purpose: “Media outlets recently reported that at least 30 of the CIA’s Chinese intelligence assets were executed during a two-year period from 2010 to 2012.”
The ‘2+2’ India–U.S. Dialogue and the Maritime Tango in the Indo-Pacific
By Prakash Gopal, The Strategist (ASPI): “The dialogue yielded significant and tangible outcomes that could potentially have a major impact on maritime security in the Indo-Pacific region.”
How the Navy's 10 New Destroyers Will Change Surface Warfare
By Kris Osborn, Warrior Maven: “Adding large numbers of new next-generation destroyers will substantially change the Navy's ability to conduct major maritime warfare operations by enabling surface forces to detect enemy attacks at much farther distances, launch long-range strikes with greater precision and destructive force and disperse offensive forces across much wider swaths of ocean.”
Seth G. Jones writes: While Russia has maintained its ability to conduct information warfare over the past several decades, the United States is ill-prepared to fight a new Cold War. [...]The United States needs to quickly develop an information warfare campaign—both overt and covert—that can compete with Russia and other adversaries. - Center for Strategic and International Studies
America's Newest Nuclear Bomb Completes Design Review
By Aaron Mehta, Defense News: “The B61-12 nuclear gravity bomb has completed its final design review, setting up production for March of 2020, the National Nuclear Security Administration has announced.”
SACRED WAR, GLOBAL CHANGE, THE CHANGING CHARACTER OF CONTEMPORARY CONFLICT & HOW THE ATHENIANS STILL TEACH US TODAY
The Battle of Arginusae
By Rose Mary Sheldon, Strategy Bridge: “The win at Arginusae paradoxically resulted in one of the worst disasters to befall the Athenians during the twenty-seven year war."