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GLOBAL STRIKE MEDIA 
More HAYEK, LESS KEYNES
monetary regimes, exchange rates, capITal - current accounts, crisis 

Dr. Edwar Prasad On Beijing's Currency

2/27/2017

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AMAZON

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AMAZON
Sarah Cook writes: Looking ahead, Mr. Xi and his colleagues face a daunting choice: Do they recognize their errors and loosen religious restrictions, or do they press ahead with a spiraling pattern of repression and resistance that might threaten the regime’s long-term legitimacy and stability? Their decision will be critical in determining the ultimate cost—human, financial, and cultural—of this futile campaign to control the spiritual beliefs of China’s citizens. – Wall Street Journal (subscription required)
China has charted out a $300 billion plan to become nearly self-sufficient by 2025 in a range of important industries, from planes to computer chips to electric cars, as it looks to kick-start its next stage of economic development. But big companies in the rest of the world worry that it is more than that: an unfair advantage in China’s home court, and perhaps elsewhere. – New York Times
 
China’s finance minister on Tuesday rejected accusations that the country is keeping its defense budget under wraps after the figure was omitted from an annual report released to the media. – Associated Press
 
While the U.S. military remains the dominant force in Asia and the world, China has been moving from quantity to quality and is catching up quickly in equipment, organization and capability, and is increasingly able to project power far from its shores. Rapid economic growth, lavish spending and a desire to regain China’s historical role as East Asia’s leading power are helping drive the moves. – Associated Press
 
Olivia Enos writes: If the international community does not defend the rights and freedoms of Hong Kong’s citizens, there is little hope that freedom and respect for human rights can take root elsewhere in China. Better to preserve rights in Hong Kong now than to let them erode further and then struggle to revive them later. - Forbes
 
Joerg Wuttke write: China would be wise to learn from past mistakes that some European member states made with misguided industrial policy. The fact that it is a much larger country doesn’t mean the results will be more favorable. Rather, the costs are likely to be higher. For China’s own sake, it needs to allow market forces and fair competition to replace industrial policy. – Wall Street Journal (subscription required)
 
Report: In “Beyond the Great Firewall: How China Became a Global Information Power,” Shanthi Kalathil examines China’s strategy to harness the global information ecosystem through three avenues: shaping international news media, guiding the evolution of the global Internet, and influencing global culture through Hollywood. The report points to a concerning trend. Not only is China reshaping its international image, it has had in some cases succeeded at enshrining authoritarian norms and values in the very markets, protocols and production processes that govern these global systems. – NED’s Center for International Media Assistance
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Silk Road As Connectivity & Where is the Canal??

2/23/2017

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Asia Times
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China's Empty Bond Threat

2/14/2017

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AEI
Kenneth Rogoff:  Why Trump Cannot Bully China
Fixing China's Debt Problem
Jianli Yang and Lianchao Han write: President Trump must keep his promise to be tough on unfair trade practices that harm America. With China currently relying on the U.S. and other big markets to keep its already faltering economy afloat, Trump has significant leverage, and he must use it to press for real Chinese economic liberalization, withdrawing China’s permanent MFC status and linking it to the removal of trade barriers and liberalization of all sectors, as well as to human-rights improvements. Workers in both China and America will thank him for the resulting improvement in their lives. – National Review Online
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Restoring Prosperity

2/13/2017

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Economics One
Political Economic Liberties Key to U.S. Success
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China's Capital Outflows & Devaluation

2/10/2017

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Chinese overseas investments: China’s foreign exchange head has asked if the acquisition of foreign football clubs has simply been a cover for Chinese firms to sneak assets out of the country. Lin Wanxia writes that the comments from Pan Gongsheng, who is head of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange and also vice-governor of the People’s Bank of China, are one more indication that the government is trying to put the screws on overseas investment.
Ross Terrill writes: Nevertheless, the fixed schedules and term limits of election democracy lend a steady beat of certainty to our choice of leaders and policies. This otherwise messy sequence is surely better than the everlasting groping of so-called evaluation democracy. Our Sinologists exit Davos and the Council on Foreign Relations saying China is being integrated into the liberal international order. The Chinese elite in Beijing have different ideas.¨ - The Weekly Standard
Who are the Beijing VIPS racing to get their money out of China before devaluation? Andrew Collier, Orient Capital Research.
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“China's foreign exchange reserves unexpectedly fell below the closely watched $3 trillion level in January for the first time in nearly six years, even as authorities tried to curb outflows by tightening capital controls.
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Reserves fell by $12.3 billion in January to $2.998 trillion, compared with a drop of $41 billion drop in December.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast forex reserves would fall by about $10.5 billion to $3 trillion.

While the $3 trillion mark is not seen as a firm "line in the sand" for Beijing, concerns are swirling in global financial markets over the speed at which the country is depleting its ammunition to defend the currency and staunch capital outflows.

Some analysts fear a heavy and sustained drain on reserves could prompt Beijing to devalue the currency.

The yuan fell 6.6 percent against the rising dollar in 2016, its biggest annual drop since 1994.
For 2016 as a whole, China burned through nearly $320 billion of reserves, on top of a record drop of $513 billion in 2015.

The yuan has found some respite in recent weeks as the dollar retreated, helped also by recent steps to curb capital outflows.

But analysts expect downward pressure on the yuan to resume, especially if the U.S. continues to raise interest rates, which would likely trigger fresh capital outflows from emerging economies such as China and test its enhanced capital controls….”

http://www.cnbc.com/2017/02/07/china-jan-fx-reserves-fall-more-than-expected-to-2998-trillion-near-6-year-low.html
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Modi & India's Turn to Socialism

2/10/2017

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Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has promised to clean up politics. The man running the ruling party's campaign in a crucial state election, who is facing 11 criminal cases, says it will take a while. - Reuters
India’s Narendra Modi Turns Away from Markets & Toward Socialism. @dhume Sadnanad Dhume, @aei


“…On Wednesday, the government halved tax rates to 5% for those earning between about $3,700 and $7,400 a year. At the same time, it stuck an extra 10% surcharge on income-tax payers earning between $74,000 and $149,000, effectively punishing them for being among the less than 6% of earning individuals who pay any income tax at all. A reduction in the corporate-tax rate does not apply to large firms. In Mr. Modi’s India, to get rich is viewed as suspicious, not glorious.


Many of these attitudes are shared widely among a political class that almost uniformly describes itself as socialist. The BJP’s leftward lurch is probably due in part to opposition taunts that it was too pro-business. The government’s chief economic advisor, Arvind Subramanian, suggests that the problem may go even deeper. He noted in a report released ahead of the budget that “India has distinctly anti-market beliefs relative to others.”


Whatever the reason, it’s time to accept that whatever else Mr. Modi uses his 2014 mandate for, it will not be to dramatically reform Asia’s third-largest economy.”
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https://www.wsj.com/articles/a-modest-indian-budget-to-modify-expectations-1486059673?tesla=y
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Central Bankers & 2008 Crisis

2/6/2017

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KING DOLLAR:  CURRENCY WARS

2/3/2017

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U.S. Central Bank Needs Exit Strategy

2/3/2017

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Economics One
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    BRAD SETER FOLLOW THE MONEY

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    US-CHINA TRADE WAR EXAMINED

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    TRADE WAR DIARIES

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    CROSS BORDER CAPITAL FLOWS

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    THE CHINA DIGEST

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    WHAT WILL INDIA LOOK LIKE IN 2025

    U.S. Needs Steady, Strategic Central Bank.wsj.pdf
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    The Federal Reserve Needs New Thinking pdf
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    What Uber Can Teach the Fed pdf
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    Trump, Trade & Money.pdf
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