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monetary regimes, exchange rates, capITal - current accounts, crisis 

FIXING THE CHINESE CURRENCY PEG & CAN BEIJING AND D.C. FIX A TRADE WAR TOWARD ACCOMMODATION? FINALLY, A COMPREHENSIVE POLICY FRAMEWORK FOR US CHINA RELATIONS

2/28/2019

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PROJECT SYNDICATE
Tom Rogan writes: China’s regime knows it is caught between a rock of authoritarian necessity and a hard place of its own foreign policy. Put simply, Xi knows his power model requires both authoritarianism at home and seizure of market access abroad, but the two are coming into conflict in the eyes of democratic nations, and Xi finds himself stuck. Again, he cannot alter China’s political identity without sacrificing the Communist Party’s total domestic power, but neither can he give up on the means of his ambition for global hegemony: stealing and securing unfair market domination and militarizing the Indo-Pacific. – Washington Examiner
The US-China economic relationship: A comprehensive approach
Neena Shenai and Joshua P. Meltzer | The Brookings Institution 
The US-China economic relationship has reached a critical juncture. The US should work with China to agree on long-term solutions for a trade deal that addresses the real issues at hand in a free-market manner and strengthens the multilateral global trading system and rule of law that the US has championed in the post–World War II era.
New Jaw-Jaw: The Geo-Economic Challenge of China’s Belt and Road Initiative by Nadège Rolland and Brad Carson
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CHINA, NORTH KOREA & GEO-STATECRAFT

2/27/2019

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THE DECOUPLING IS ON:  US SEEKS TO LEAVE CHINA

2/21/2019

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China trade: The US fails on enforcement, again
Derek Scissors | AEIdeas 
If President Trump wants to say his (eventual) deal solves the ugly problems he rightly pointed out in 2015–16, it will need much stronger enforcement than meeting after meeting and a chance of proportional action.
The Militarization of Xi Jinping's China
"Recovering" Areas They Never Have Ruled by Gordon G. Chang
BLOOMBERG LOOKS AT THE YUAN
THE FUTURE OF US CHINA RELATIONS
A currency straitjacket for China
Desmond Lachman | InsideSources 
In slapping import tariffs on China and attempting to force China into a currency straitjacket, the Trump administration seems to be overlooking that China is the world’s second-largest economy and has for many years now been the world’s major engine of economic growth.
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REFORMING THE MIDDLE KINGDOM OR A GLOBAL CHINA: THE CHALLENGE FOR TEAM TRUMP

2/17/2019

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The Middle Kingdom Is Dead; Long Live A Global China
By Dickson Yeo
It’s one of the fundamental questions about China and its future place in the world: does the great civilization still view the world through the traditional lens of the Middle Kingdom or does the world face a new China, unbound by many of the structures under…
REFORMING THE MIDDLE KINGDOM:  INTEREST RATES & THE PRIVATE SECTO BYASIA TIMES STAFF
China’s intellectual property approach continues to mature
Michael Rosen | AEIdeas 
While serious issues remain, innovators in China and around the globe should applaud significant recent steps forward as a sign of the maturity of the Chinese approach to intellectual property.
China’s Growing Military Presence Abroad Brings New Challenges
By Harriet Moynihan & Dr. Wim Muller, Chatham House: “China's involvement in UN peacekeeping contributions has been on the rise for some time. China is also stepping up its own military and security operations abroad to protect its commercial and strategic interests, particularly in Africa. In doing so, China is exposing itself to a more complex set of issues – including international legal issues – with which it is only just starting to grapple."
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THE STATE OF US-CHINA TRADE TALKS:  POSTURING, PLEADING & PROMISES

2/3/2019

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CHINA'S SLOW DOWN & THE WORLD ECONOMY
Don’t hand China the economic crown just yet
Desmond Lachman | The Hill 
China is hardly the first country that the US has feared might economically eclipse it. In the 1960s, it was a rising Russian economy that the US feared might outpace it. Then, in the 1980s, it was the Japanese economic miracle that caused the US to shudder.
XI & TRUMP CONTINUE TALKS W/ TOUGH CHOICES
The unpredictable rise of China
Daniel Blumenthal | The Atlantic 
Beijing has viewed the US as its chief geopolitical rival, yet official Washington has only recently awakened to this strategic competition. But as American observers start to see China’s ambitions more clearly, they have also misdiagnosed the challenges they pose. 
  • Hudson’s Nate Sibley: How to fight China's financial abuses: Crack down on anonymous companies
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WHO WRECKED THE CHINESE MIRACLE? & THE CURIOUS LACK OF DEFAULTS IN CHINA BY HARVARD'S CARMEN REINHART

2/3/2019

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The Unpredictable Rise of China
 
// Daniel Blumenthal
Xi Jinping seeks national rejuvenation, but his nation's mounting power masks increased instability.
The curious case of missing defaults
Carmen M. Reinhart | AEI Economics Working Paper Series 
An important new dimension in the latest global capital flow cycle is the surge in Chinese loans to developing countries, notably low-income commodity producers. A driver of China’s overseas lending boom is its larger global footprint, which helped stabilize global trade.
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RUSSIANS FLY GOLD OUT OF THE CAUCASUS: PUTIN'S DESPERATION CONTINUES WITH SANCTIONS, A FAILED OLIGARCHY CONTINUES

2/3/2019

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    BRAD SETER FOLLOW THE MONEY

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    US-CHINA TRADE WAR EXAMINED

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    TRADE WAR DIARIES

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    CROSS BORDER CAPITAL FLOWS

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    THE CHINA DIGEST

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    WHAT WILL INDIA LOOK LIKE IN 2025

    U.S. Needs Steady, Strategic Central Bank.wsj.pdf
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    The Federal Reserve Needs New Thinking pdf
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    What Uber Can Teach the Fed pdf
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    Trump, Trade & Money.pdf
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