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More HAYEK, LESS KEYNES
monetary regimes, exchange rates, capITal - current accounts, crisis 

FED ENTERS THE MUNI MARKET:  CHAOS & MORAL HAZARD REIGNS

3/29/2020

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Not One Emerging Market Financial Crisis, But Many…
by Brad W. Setser
China Needs More Progressive Taxes and More Spending on Public Health
by Brad W. Setser
CHAOS & PANDEMICS
The Fed Enters Municipal Bond Market: Will It Be Enough?
Michael Hendrix, E21

On Monday, the Federal Reserve went all-in to support America’s shuttered economy. Among its most remarkable moves was its backstop of the $3.8 trillion municipal bond (“muni”) market, a critical source of financing for states, counties, and municipalities. The Fed hopes this will keep credit flowing to states and localities as their revenues—and the market for their debt—reel in the wake of the global coronavirus pandemic. As investor dollars rush out of the muni market, it is revealing troubling debts as well as questions about the role of fiscal federalism in a time of crisis. Read more here....
Do You Xi What I Xi?
quoting Victor Davis Hanson via National Review
Whatsoever you do, read Jim
CFR:  FOLLOW THE MONEY; ADDRESSING GLOBAL DOLLAR SHORTAGE
CFR:  LESSONS LEARNED FROM CHINA TRADE WAR
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THE END OF THE CHINA MIRACLE

3/27/2020

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CHINA'S DEBT TRAP DIPLOMACY
China's BRI:
The Development-Finance Dimension

CHINESE DEFENSE SPENDING
Coronavirus: China's Great Cover-up  by Giulio Meotti 
https://www.hoover.org/research/asias-new-geopolitics
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EXAMINING THE LEAST CREDIT WORTHY STATES DURING CRISIS & PRC DECEPTIONS

3/22/2020

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The Crisis’ Impact on Budgets
Steven Malanga, City Journal
China, America, and the International Order after the Pandemic by Mira Rapp-Hoope
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THE HAN MASTERS IN BEIJING THINK SUCCESSION:  ARTHUR WALDRON CHINA AUTHORITY SPEAKS

3/20/2020

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The West Needs to Wake Up to China's Duplicity by Giulio Meotti  •  
WHAT'S AFTER XI
WHO REPLACES XI JINPING Frank Chen.
​GUY SORMAN
You, Xi
It is time for Americans to recognize and acknowledge that the Chinese president is not our friend.
Beijing Fears COVID-19 Is Turning Point for China, Globalization
By Michael Auslin via RealClearPoliticsMichael Auslin maintains that in its desperation to evade blame from the world community, Beijing has used its propaganda machine to effectively reshape the narrative about the origins of COVID-19. He also argues that the world should responsibly reduce its dependency on China’s economy.

On Coronavirus, Beware the Totalitarian Temptation
By Josef Joffe via the American InterestJosef Joffe challenges the old maxim that totalitarian regimes perform better in devastating times than democracies, arguing instead that an authoritarian cure is always worse than the catastrophe.
Arthur Waldron, University of Pennsylvania; in re: Stability of the PRC and what comes afterward between US and PRC?  Origins of the virus; requirement of stability in China for the commerce to continue.   Xi early said he was personally in charge of solving the virus matter.  The US is the meal ticket for China; how does it benefit China to damage the US?  In China, is the younger generation ready for a major change in the Communist party?  The artists and academics are miles ahead of the party.  Xi does not want to have a successor being groomed, and ensured that that would not happen. Ergo, there’s no clear succession path and the infighting will probably be intense. In Chinese classics, the question of the root of succession: since ancient times, when the emperor is first proclaimed, he must immediately name a successor. Xi emphatically has not done this.
China's first emperor, Ch’in Shi Huang, is famed for having united the Warring States' walls to form the Great Wall of China. Most of the present structure, however, dates to the Ming dynasty. Xi Jinping may oversee the disintegration of today's unified PRC.
Danielle Pletka and Derek Scissors write: Over the last couple of years, the Washington consensus view on China has shifted 180 degrees. The nation whose transformation lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty and spurred serious calls for examination of a “China model”—authoritarian government married to managed capitalism—is now perceived by most political leaders as a strategic competitor at best, a dangerous enemy at worst. Setting aside the well-documented military challenge, since the Wuhan outbreak, the economic and health threats have come sharply into view. – The Dispatch
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THE SOCIAL BALANCE OF THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC IS UPROOTED

3/15/2020

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​The Myth of Chinese Capitalism: The Worker, the Factory, and the Future of the World Hardcover – March 10, 2020.  by Dexter Roberts  (Author)
https://www.amazon.com/Myth-Chinese-Capitalism-Worker-Factory/dp/1250089379

Dexter Roberts lived in Beijing for two decades working as a reporter on economics, business and politics for Bloomberg Businessweek. In The Myth of Chinese Capitalism, Roberts explores the reality behind today’s financially-ascendant China and pulls the curtain back on how the Chinese manufacturing machine is actually powered.

He focuses on two places: the village of Binghuacun in the province of Guizhou, one of China’s poorest regions that sends the highest proportion of its youth away to become migrants; and Dongguan, China’s most infamous factory town located in Guangdong, home to both the largest number of migrant workers and the country’s biggest manufacturing base.

Within these two towns and the people that move between them, Roberts focuses on the story of the Mo family, former farmers-turned-migrant-workers who are struggling to make a living in a fast-changing country that relegates one-half of its people to second-class status via household registration, land tenure policies and inequality in education and health care systems. 

In The Myth of Chinese Capitalism, Dexter Roberts brings to life the problems that China and its people face today as they attempt to overcome a divisive system that poses a serious challenge to the country’s future development. In so doing, Roberts paints a boot-on-the-ground cautionary picture of China for a world now held in its financial thrall.
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CHINA:  THAT 70'S FEELING & THE HORROR OF STATE BUDGETS

3/8/2020

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Conditional convergence and the rise of China: A political economy approach to understanding global power transitions
Michael Beckley | Journal of Global Security Studies
The US scores higher than China across measures of geography, demography, and institutions, suggesting that a US-China power transition is unlikely.
China shutdown not affecting fentanyl production  
Roger Bate | AEIdeas
That 1970s Feeling
Kenneth Rogoff shows why the next global recession, which could be around the corner, is unlikely to look like the last two.
Coronavirus and Xi Jinping’s Many Failures
By Bradley A. Thayer & Lianchao Han, RealClearDefense: "Fundamentally, the pandemic is only the latest in a list of horrors that China has inflicted on itself and the world, and which, in turn, have dispelled the myth of the “China Dream” and “China model.”"
The Virus and the Economy – Steven Malanga, City Journal
Corona Virus Monetary Policy
By John Cochrane via the Grumpy Economist
Globalization Bleeding
By Victor Davis Hanson via National Review
State Budgets: Hidden Debt And Hidden Deficits
With John Rauh via PolicyEd
Decision 2020 Report: How to Fix America’s Immigration System
Via Decision 2020
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    BRAD SETER FOLLOW THE MONEY

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    US-CHINA TRADE WAR EXAMINED

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    TRADE WAR DIARIES

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    CROSS BORDER CAPITAL FLOWS

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    THE CHINA DIGEST

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    WHAT WILL INDIA LOOK LIKE IN 2025

    U.S. Needs Steady, Strategic Central Bank.wsj.pdf
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    The Federal Reserve Needs New Thinking pdf
    File Size: 211 kb
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    What Uber Can Teach the Fed pdf
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    Trump, Trade & Money.pdf
    File Size: 333 kb
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