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CHINA PUMPS FENTANYL INTO US & WILL CHINA DUMP US TREASURIES

5/25/2019

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Are We at Risk of a Chinese Dollar Dump?
Robert Samuelson, Washington Post
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CHINA'S DOMESTIC BANKS GET BOND FUTURES FOR LIQUIDITY, DAVID P. GOLDMAN SPEAKS AT HERITAGE ABOUT CHINESE GRAND STRATEGY & THE SHAPE OF CHINA'S CURRENT ACCOUNT

5/25/2019

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What If the Trade War Is Deflationary?
Gary Shilling, Bloomberg
ASIA TIMES
ASIA TIMES 
GORDAN CHANG ON THE NEAR COLLAPSE OF CHINA
CHINA'S U SHAPED CURRENT ACCOUNT
Karl W. Smith writes: When it comes to China, however, the president is doubling down. He has encouraged U.S. supply chains to move out of China and established subsidy programs to cushion farmers from the effects of a protracted trade war. Which leads to the long-term implications of this battle. A protracted trade war would almost guarantee a global realignment. Supply chains that run through both the U.S. and China would constantly be subject to disruptions, so global manufacturers would have to decide whether to pursue an America-centric or China-centric strategy. – Bloomberg 
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David Auerswald writes: China’s Arctic Policy puts forward an alternative governance narrative that plays to many Arctic countries’ focus on multilateralism in regional politics. In 2013, China agreed to abide by the jurisdictional rights of the Arctic states as a condition of being granted Arctic Council permanent observer status. That gave China a voice in Arctic Council working groups discussing issues like climate research, search and rescue coordination, and fisheries management. – War on the Rocks
Jon. B Alterman writes: China’s Middle East strategy, then, is not so much a single regional strategy as a portfolio of investments. China’s national ambitions in each country are narrowly focused on economic ties, and state-owned enterprises closely follow governmental priorities. The United States has seemingly comprehensive plans in almost every country but few resources, and a business community that follows profits wherever they can be found. – Center for Strategic and International Studies
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WHY RED CHINA ISN'T TOMORROW'S HEGEMON

5/23/2019

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https://www.hoover.org/news/victor-davis-hanson-us-china-confrontation-will-define-global-order
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CHINA STARTED THE TRADE WAR, IT WILL DETERMINE THE SHAPE OF GLOBAL ORDER

5/20/2019

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CHINA'S LONG MARCH TO DEFEAT TRUMP
In a Washington Post op-ed, Marc Thiessen explains that President Trump didn’t start the current trade war. China did. Beijing has been waging economic warfare on the US for years — stealing intellectual property, forcing American companies to transfer technology as a price of doing business in China, and subsidizing state-owned enterprises to prevent US businesses from competing in dozens of sectors of the Chinese economy. The difference now is that Chinese leaders are facing a president who is willing to fight back. Continue here. 

Will the US and China ever reach a trade deal? Following the collapse of trade talks last week, Derek Scissors joined CNBC to explain that Trump’s tariff decision is tied to the timing of the G20 summit in June, where Trump will have the chance to talk to Xi Jinping. If the US were planning to pose these tariffs in the long term, the timing would be to allow American businesses to adjust. Instead, the timing is for the negotiations. Watch here. 

Last week, Zack Cooper joined “The Mike Schikman Show” to discuss US-China relations. Cooper notes that despite the attention on the trade war, policymakers are also concerned with China’s security situation, human rights abuses, and projects such as the Belt and Road Initiative. China uses economic coercion to change the foreign policy decisions of states in Asia and increasingly much further abroad. Listen here.
Turkey grapples with big trade deficit with China
Amid Washington’s trade war on China, Ankara is also grumbling about a massive trade gap with Beijing, but a number of factors stand in Turkey's way to resolve the deficit.
Victor Davis Hanson: US-China Confrontation Will Define Global Order
via Hoover Daily Report
The United States is at a crossroads with an increasingly aggressive China, which could define America’s security and the international order for decades to come, Hoover scholar Victor Davis Hanson says.
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MANUFACTURING HAS LEFT CHINA FOR AMERICA

5/17/2019

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ASIA TIMES:  US PLAYS CHESS, CHINA PLAYS GO
ASIA TIMES
https://www.dallasnews.com/business/real-estate/2019/05/15/tool-maker-stanley-black-decker-brings-new-plant-hundreds-jobs-north-fort-worth
HOW EXPOSED IS THE US TO A TRADE WAR
BY CHART & TYPE OF GOODS, HOW EXPOSED IS CHINA TO A TRADE WAR
Sharpening the US-China trade debate
Reuters 
China trade is being argued in strings of tweets and seven-minute (if you’re lucky) TV segments. As a result, no one gets it quite right. Derek Scissors gives corrections of four important missteps in the debate.
Selling China Short
Stephen Roach says that three recent books reveal more about their authors’ assumptions than about where China is headed.
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PROMISE FATIGUE WITH CHINA

5/17/2019

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https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2019/05/15/trumphaspromisefatiguefromdealingwithchina140330.html
XI JINPING SPEAKS OF A CLASH OF CIVILIZATIONS
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HOW CHINA MISREADS TRUMP BADLY

5/16/2019

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HOW CHINA MISREAD THE US
China has a master economic plan. Is it better than America’s? 
James Pethokoukis | AEIdeas
Beyond the Tariff Debates
Claude Barfield, AEI
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CHINA, A REGIONAL POWER WITH GLOBAL AMBITIONS DUMPS REFORM & HOW BEIJING HIRES THE SWAMP TO HIT TRUMP

5/16/2019

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CHINA STARTED THE TRADE WAR; THE HAN MASTERS MISREAD TRUMP & US DOMESTIC SUPPORT AGAINST CHINA

5/13/2019

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Trump didn’t start this trade war. China did.
Marc A. Thiessen | The Washington Post 
We should all be able to agree that China is an economic predator against which we need to fight back. Trump is using tariffs to force China to open its markets to free trade and competition.
COUNCIL FOREIGN RELATIONS
Sharpening the US-China trade debate
Derek Scissors | AEIdeas 
China trade is being argued in strings of tweets and seven-minute (if you’re lucky) TV segments. As a result, no one gets it quite right. Here are corrections of four important missteps in the debate.
The Strategic Logic Behind the Trade War – Robert Kelly, National Interest
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HOW CHINA SEEKS TO REFORM BELT ROAD INITIATIVE & RATING AGENCIES AND BOND MARKETS FOR CHINA

5/13/2019

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ASIA TIMES
The Second Belt and Road Summit
By Roie Yellinek, May 13, 2019
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: On April 25-27, 2019, Chinese President Xi Jinping convened a second summit of leaders and representatives from around the world to discuss his signature program, the Belt and Road Initiative. Xi’s keynote address revealed his take on Beijing’s trade struggle with the US as well as his approach to the concerns of poorer countries that lie along the initiative’s route.

Continue to full article ->
THE DOLLAR THAT DIDN'T BARK
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HOW TEAM TRUMP DOMINATES CHINA

5/8/2019

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Emerging Markets’ Dark Cloud Over the Global Economy
Desmond Lachman, AEI
ASIA TIMES
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A LOOK AT IRANIAN INFLATION

5/3/2019

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Inflation in Iran is on the Rise
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Saeed Ghasseminejad | Senior Iran and Financial Economics Advisor
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CHINA, TRUMP & THE CONCEPT OF MANAGED TRADE

5/3/2019

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Follow the Money  China Never Stopped Managing its TradeSo long as the bulk of China's imports from the United States (and many others) are bought by state firms, China has the ability to manage its trade. The management isn't new. What's new is Trump's implicit willingness to accept managed trade so long as the trade is managed in a way that is judged to help the United States.
Blog Post by Brad W. Setser
ASIA TIMES
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    BRAD SETER FOLLOW THE MONEY

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    US-CHINA TRADE WAR EXAMINED

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    TRADE WAR DIARIES

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    CROSS BORDER CAPITAL FLOWS

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    THE CHINA DIGEST

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    WHAT WILL INDIA LOOK LIKE IN 2025

    U.S. Needs Steady, Strategic Central Bank.wsj.pdf
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    The Federal Reserve Needs New Thinking pdf
    File Size: 211 kb
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    What Uber Can Teach the Fed pdf
    File Size: 150 kb
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    Trump, Trade & Money.pdf
    File Size: 333 kb
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