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GLOBAL STRIKE MEDIA 
More HAYEK, LESS KEYNES
monetary regimes, exchange rates, capITal - current accounts, crisis 

THE TURKISH CENTRAL BANK LOSES CREDIBILITY

5/21/2020

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Turkey’s ‘peg-legged’ foreign currency reserves
Turkey’s central bank appears increasingly fragile, with more than 60% of its reserves secured through swap deals.
Why Erdogan Won’t Ask the IMF for Help
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Turkey's economy is a mess, but its president won't seek an IMF loan because the conditions would mean giving up his extensive patronage network.
​Turkey’s megaprojects threaten ‘mega’ financial havoc
 Turkey’s government might be forced to nationalize some megaproject investments, chief among them the new airport in Istanbul, which have hit dire straits under the combined impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and Turkey’s existing economic woes.
Erdogan’s Fourth Attempt to Take Over Turkey’s Largest Private Bank
Aykan Erdemir
Ankara warns Hifter to lay off Turkish assets in Libya
Turkey has warned of grave consequences if Libyan warlord Khalifa Hifter acts on threats to attack Turkish assets in Libya, signaling a further potential escalation in the Libyan conflict. Turkish Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hami Aksoy said in a statement today that Turkey would see “the putschist elements as legitimate targets” if its interests came under attack.
The warning followed threats from Hifter’s air force chief Saqr al-Jaroushi, who said, “All Turkish positions and interests in all cities are legitimate targets for our air force jets and we call on all civilians to stay away from them.”

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Qatar triples swap line with Turkey
 Qatar has offered support to Turkey’s central bank, expanding a currency-swap agreement to $15 billion as Ankara seeks to mitigate economic shocks from the coronavirus pandemic.
Justice Department Unveils Elaborate North Korean Sanctions Evasion Scheme
Mathew Ha | Research Analyst
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WHAT TEAM TRUMP GOT RIGHT ABOUT U.S. TRADE DEFICITS OVER 30 YEARS & china builds fortress in the african horn

5/15/2020

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China may be more vulnerable than we think. Read the interview here.
China’s Plans to Win Control of the Global Order
US DEBT COSTS TRILLIONS:  COVID BONDS
Five Points about U.S. Trade Over the Last Thirty Years
by Brad W. Setser
Cold War shadows creep across China’s political elite
Inside the rarified atmosphere of the Great Hall of the People, the aroma of disinfectant will mingle with a whiff of economic distress. A toxic mix before Premier Li Keqiang gives his annual state-of-the-union-style speech at the National People’s Congress in Beijing later this week. 

Read More
The Irish Shock to U.S. Manufacturing?
by Brad W. Setser
The Left Is What It Once Loathed
by Victor Davis Hanson via American Greatness
What is the Left, then? Mostly a Jacobin party that operates ad hoc, without principle, or consistency. 

Are the Kurds the Next Kingmakers in Turkey?
By Burak Bekdil, May 11, 2020
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Between 1994 and 2015, the Kurdish vote in Turkey rose from 4.1% to 13.1% of the electorate. A greying Turkey is facing a baby boom in Kurdistan: the Kurdish fertility rate, at 3.41, is a demographic weapon against the Turkish fertility rate of 2.09. These numbers suggest that Kurds could be the kingmakers in Turkey’s presidential election in 2023.

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China builds a mega-fortress on the Horn of Africa
The Chinese Navy is busy building a string of overseas bases, and one of the largest is in Djibouti, on the Horn of Africa. The question is, why? Exactly who are they defending against? And why is it a modern-day “Fort Apache” walled fortress, featuring battlements similar to medieval castles, shooting ports and corner towers. Read More
​Lebanon’s Interwoven Fantasy Worlds All Lead to War With Israel
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How much should America pay to maintain the fraying fabric?
Syria: Israeli Official Says Iran Beginning Withdrawal in Syria.  Israel’s outgoing defense minister Natafli Bennett on Monday said Iran has begun withdrawing its forces from Syria.  “Iran is significantly reducing the scope of its forces in Syria and even evacuating a number of bases,” Bennett said.  Israel has carried out hundreds of air strikes against Iranian and Hezbollah targets in Syria in recent months, stretching Iran’s resources thin.  Bennett’s comments echo those of an U.S. envoy who said last week that Iran was reducing its forces in Syria.  Haaretz Reuters
Grand Strategy Is No Silver Bullet, But It Is Indispensable by Andrew Ehrhardt and Maeve Ryan

As Conflict Escalates in Libya, the Economy Veers Toward Crisis by Tim Eaton
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    BRAD SETER FOLLOW THE MONEY

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    US-CHINA TRADE WAR EXAMINED

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    TRADE WAR DIARIES

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    CROSS BORDER CAPITAL FLOWS

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    THE CHINA DIGEST

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    WHAT WILL INDIA LOOK LIKE IN 2025

    U.S. Needs Steady, Strategic Central Bank.wsj.pdf
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    The Federal Reserve Needs New Thinking pdf
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    What Uber Can Teach the Fed pdf
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    Trump, Trade & Money.pdf
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