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  • OIL - ENERGY MARKETS

OIL - ENERGY MARKETS

LIBYA SHUTS DOWN OIL MARKETS:  CIVIL WAR

2/6/2020

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Libyan divide deepens as eastern forces shut down oil ports
 As the Libyan National Army accused the Government of National Accord and Tripoli-based National Oil Corporation of spending its revenues on mercenaries to fight along their ranks, the tribes in eastern Libya shut down multiple oil ports and demanded a new distribution of oil revenues.
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OLD ENERGY, NEW BOOM:  WHY HYDROCARBONS MATTER STILL

1/27/2020

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Old Energy, New Boom
Mark Mills, City Journal
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EXAMINING ISRAELI OIL & ITS IMPACT ON REGIONAL GEOPOLITICS

1/3/2020

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Israel Could Be Key to 2020 Middle East Geopolitics
By Frank Musmar, January 2, 2020
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Israel’s geographical position means it must stay agile and manage complex relations with its Muslim neighbors through quiet collaboration and smart use of its technological and economic advantages. Over the past two decades, Israel has discovered offshore gas, begun extensive seawater desalination, and dramatically expanded its navy’s platforms and missions. Ten years ago, Israel depended on Egypt’s natural gas; nowadays, Israel exports natural gas to Egypt and Jordan.

Continue to full article ->
Egypt unruffled by EastMed pipeline project
 Now that Cyprus, Greece and Israel have agreed to build a subsea pipeline to supply Europe with natural gas, officials are downplaying its potential impact on Egypt's ambition to become a regional energy hub.
The Leviathan Natural Gas Field Could Be a Game-Changer for Israel-EU Relations
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NATURE BEATS OFF SOVIET DEPREDATIONS

1/3/2020

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Gregory Copley, author, Sovereignty in the 21st Century and the Crisis for Identity, Cultures, Nation-States , and Civilizations; and president of the International Strategic Studies Association; in re:  Gregory was an election observer in Uzbekistan on 22 December: in the Republic of Karakalpakstan, an autonomous republic within Uzbekistan. It occupies the whole northwestern end of Uzbekistan, is on the Aral Sea. Photo of a boat that used to sail on the Aral and now has long been dry and rusting far out on the shore.   However, people are starting to fish in some of the nearby lakes.  

The Economist labelled Uzbekistan as the country that made the most improvement in 2019.

First, protecting people; next, stabilizing the seabed: seeding it with various plants; and third, to regenerate the water supply into the Aral Sea.  New efficiencies in water mgt, esp irrigation.

Karakalpak is a Turkic language similar to Uzbek but quite distinct, linguistically and culturally.  The Soviets destroyed the entire ecoregion, a crime against humanity and the planet, in front  of the eyes of the entre world, as the five-year plans demanded that the local agriculture be only cotton. Deliberate abuse for the pockets of the Sovietskii bureaucrats.

I went to the Farghona* Valley, where long there’s been narcotics smuggling, but that’s now reduced to very little. A rise in food production throughout the country, with a diverse economy, A big O&G producer now. Ninety per cent of the cars on the road are GM vehicles—bldg them in Uzbekistan.

The Soviets were monsters. It's incredible what they were doing to their slave states.  
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EGYPT NOW REGIONAL ENERGY HUB FOR AFRICA & GERMAN-RUSSIAN GAS/OIL HOOK UP

12/27/2019

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Egypt moves into position as regional energy hub
 President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi has announced Egypt is ready to export electricity to Africa at low prices.
Germany Puts Its Head in Russia's Energy Pipeline Noose by Soeren Kern  •
​New oil, gas field in Egypt promises more discoveries
Egypt’s successive governments have largely ignored drilling of oil and gas in the Western Desert given the high cost of such an operation, although the area is rich.
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TURKEY'S EMERGING ENERGY CRISIS & CONSEQUENT BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

12/21/2019

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Turkey’s energy miscalculations have hefty cost
 More than a third of Turkey’s installed power capacity remains idle after an ill-calculated rush for energy that has had a hefty financial and environmental cost.
Issues 2020: A Fracking Ban Would Trigger Global Recession
Mark Mills, Manhattan Institute

The extraction of oil and gas through the techniques of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing (colloquially, “fracking”) has catapulted the United States into leadership of the world’s energy markets. Since 2007, fracking has doubled U.S. oil production and increased gas production by 60%. Instead of a major importer, America is rapidly becoming the largest exporter of oil and is expected to supply the majority of net new energy traded on global markets over the next two decades. Read more here.... (Photo: sasacvetkovic33/iStock)
Oil trail reveals Turkey funding Syrian Kurdish rivals
 Through oil, Turkey is helping to indirectly subsidize the very same Syrian Kurdish administration that it's seeking to crush.
 Rival government rallies support against Libya's maritime border deal with Turkey 
The chairman of Libya's eastern-based parliament, Aguila Saleh, is on a regional tour to rally support against an agreement on maritime boundaries between the rival UN-backed government in Tripoli and Turkey. Saleh met with Arab Parliament President Mishaal bin Fahm al-Salami in Cairo to press his case, Arab media reported today. “The signing of this agreement without ratification by the Libyan House of Representatives aims to cede the sovereignty of the Libyan State and its legitimate rights to the Republic of Turkey to enable it to invest in this area, which is null and void by all standards,” Saleh said.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Monday that Turkey and Libya can now carry out joint exploration operations in the eastern Mediterranean. Ankara supports the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord, which has been assault by the House of Representatives-aligned Libyan National Army led by Khalifa Hifter since April. 

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ISRAEL EXPORTS NATURAL GAS TO EGYPT

12/14/2019

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Israel to begin exporting gas to Egypt next month
 In just a few weeks, Egypt should be receiving natural
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BEIJING & RIYADH GROW CLOSER WITH ARAMCO:  OIL; AND RUSSIA'S SIBERIAN OIL BEGINS

12/8/2019

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THE SAUDI ARAMCO BIG PICTURE
ASIA TIMES
SIBERIAN OIL
SAUDI'S OVERPRICED IPO ARAMCO
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PUTIN VISITS TURKEY OVER NATURAL GAS CORRIDOR WHILE US PETROL-STATE ARRIVES

12/3/2019

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Turkey's Open Secret: Fake Secularism by Burak Bekdil  •
Putin to visit Turkey for natural gas pipeline launch 
Russian President Vladimir Putin will visit Turkey on Jan. 8 to participate in the launch of a natural gas pipeline from Russia, the Kremlin announced Monday. TurkStream's first line will supply gas to the Turkish market, while a second line will pass through the country to Bulgaria, Serbia, Hungary and Slovakia to supply gas to some 15 million homes in southern and southeastern Europe.
Read More  
dailysabah.com
ASIA TIMES:  TURKISH OIL RELATIONS WITH LIBYA
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MADURO PLUNDERS CITGO, INFOGRAPHICS ON US SURGE IN OIL/GAS & FLAT DEMAND FOR PERSIAN GULF OIL

11/4/2019

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ASIA TIMES
More US energy milestones: 12 new production records were set in August for natural gas and oil 
Mark J. Perry | AEIdeas
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PUTIN GAMBLES ON SYRIAN OIL TO SOLIDIFY HIS HOLD

11/1/2019

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ASIA TIMES
Russia’s 'multilayered pie’ policy on Libya
 For all the uncertainty surrounding Russia's presence in Libya, there are some policy drivers to be watched.
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THE MIDDLE EAST WITH NUKES, WHY THE ETHANOL GAME IS LONG OVER & HOW THE SAUDI'S CHANGE THEIR OPEC TUNE

10/18/2019

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The ultimate Middle East missile target: Nuclear reactors
Saudi Arabia: Riyadh to Cooperate with United States on Global Energy Security.  Saudi Arabia’s energy minister met with U.S. Energy Secretary Rick Perry on Monday and discussed oil markets, the role of OPEC, and stability in the global energy supply.  The Saudi energy minister also met with his Nigerian counterpart, stressing Saudi Arabia’s role in energy security on the world stage.  Reuters U.S. News and World Report
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WHY NUCLEAR POWER STILL RULES; ISLAM, CHRISTENDOM IN THE CAUCASUS PIPELINES

10/1/2019

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James Ellis On The Energy Density Advantage Of Nuclear Power
by Admiral James O. Ellis Jr. via PolicyEd
Nuclear power has an energy density advantage over every other method of generating electricity.
Zvi Bar’el writes: For Iran, Iraq’s economic dependence is a double-edged sword. On one hand, it gives the Islamic Republic great influence over Iraqi politics. But on the other, this makes Iraqis view it as the source of their problems and not just economic ones. […]Iraq’s decision to abide by American sanctions on Iran even though it opposes them shows how detached Westerners are from reality when they view all Shi’ite groups as agents of Iran.- Haaretz
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MEET THE FRACKERS & HOW NORD STREAM II PROVIDES EUROPE STRATEGIC AUTONOMY

9/18/2019

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Nord Stream II and Europe's strategic autonomy
The European Union's gas relationship with Russia remains controversial within Europe, with opponents portraying the Nord Stream II project as aggression against Ukraine, a danger to Central and Eastern Europe and a reflection of Germany's dependence on Russian gas. ​
New leadership and new challenges for Saudi Arabia's oil industry
Rauf Mammadov
https://www.amazon.com/Frackers-Outrageous-Inside-Billionaire-Wildcatters/dp/B00GDJKH2I/ref=tmm_aud_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=
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IRAN STRIKES THE HOUSE OF SAUD

9/18/2019

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  • China pulls out of giant Iranian gas project 
  • Saudi Arabia and Iran make quiet openings to head off war
Why U.S. Patriot Missiles Failed to Protect Saudi Oil Sites
By Sébastien Roblin, NBC News: "The U.S. is having trouble defending against low-flying drones and cruise missiles after years of the Pentagon focusing on longer-range threats."
 Attacks on Saudi oil plants reveal weaknesses in US-made defenses
(Military.com) Ground-hugging swarms of drones and cruise missiles that decimated Saudi oil production facilities this month did billions’ worth of damage and defeated U.S.-made air-defense systems, including Raytheon's Patriots. The attacks raise concerns, analysts say, about the efficacy of such defense systems against the threat. 
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Saudi oil facility attack challenges Washington’s credibility
Karen E. Young | Al-Monitor 
While the recent attacks on two Saudi oil facilities will affect global oil prices, it is the US commitment in the region that is under attack.
Iran's Strategy Behind the Saudi Attack
By Raymond V. Mason, RealClearDefense: “A possible Iranian link to the attack on a Saudi oil installation this past weekend is the latest example of Iran’s continued ability to threaten American interests in the Middle East despite robust U.S. sanctions. While the administration is applying maximum economic pressure, sanctions alone will not force Iran to the table and are insufficient to address resulting Iranian retaliation."
The Saudi oil attacks won’t devastate the global economy — here’s what could
The Gulf Crisis Should Remind Us of the Importance of Fracking
Charles Lane, Washington Post
 
The Oil Price Increase and the Dollar
Desmond Lachman, AEI
Iran’s strike on Saudi Arabia brings Persian Gulf war closer 
Michael Rubin | Washington Examiner 

The Iraq War surge 
Stephen J. Hadley and Hal Brands | AEI video
Out of the Loop: What the Saudi Attacks Tell Us About the Future of Conflict
By Eliot Pence, RealClearDefense: "The Abqaiq attacks this month raised many questions. Who did it? How did they do it? What did they do it with? One question was notably absent: Why couldn't Saudi Arabia stop it? The answer is not straightforward, nor is it necessarily clear that anything could have stopped it."
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THE SAUDI'S & ARAMCO. . . . AGAIN & FOREIGN EQUITY SOARS INTO RIYADH

8/22/2019

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THE MEANING OF A LOW IPO VALUATION
Saudi Aramco raises $25.6 billion in largest-ever IPO 
Saudi Arabia's state oil company Aramco broke market records with the launch of its initial stock offering on Thursday. Shares were priced at the high end of the target range and raised a record $25.6 billion. The market debut puts Aramco's value at $1.7 trillion, far ahead of other corporate giants. Aramco is expected to begin trading on Riyadh's Tadawul exchange on Dec. 12 at 32 riyals ($8.53).
Read More  
al-monitor.com
The long and winding Saudi Aramco initial public offering road  
Benjamin Zycher | AEI
Saudi Arabia to delay Aramco public offering 
 reuters.com
Huge Aramco IPO hounded by big ifs
Institutional investors have questions over the company's transparency and governance
BYPIERRE DONADIEU
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Saudi oil company Aramco says it’s ready for two-stage public offering
 al-monitor.com
ASIA TIMES:  FOREIGN EQUITY SOARS INTO SAUDI ARABIA
Saudi Arabia selling the Aramco initial public offering, yet again 
Karen E. Young | Al-Monitor
ASIA TIMES:  WHY LISTING ARAMCO IS WRONG
Algeria considers allowing foreign ownership in certain sectors 
reuters.com
 
Saudi Arabia scolds fellow OPEC members for exceeding oil output cuts 
al-monitor.com
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US OIL CHARTS:  THE US HEGEMONY ON OIL

8/21/2019

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Animated chart of the day: Oil production in America’s big 3 oil fields (Bakken, Eagle Ford, and Permian Basin) 
Mark J. Perry | AEIdeas
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THE UAE'S PETROL DIVERSIFICATION STRATEGY

8/10/2019

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UAE diversification strategy lags despite growth in oil sector
 
Karen E. Young | Al-Monitor 
 
The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is a leader in economic diversification across the Gulf Cooperation Council, but even the UAE is struggling to grow.
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THE EPA'S ETHANOL BINGE & HOW RUSSIA SEEKS TO SHAPE THE MIDDLE EAST

7/13/2019

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COLIN A. CARTER, HENRY I. MILLER
 Giving In to Big Corn
Consumers will suffer the hangover from the EPA’s ethanol binge.
How Russian business could shape Mideast's future security architecture
 Russia has been engaged in the Levantine oil and gas sectors for some time, but now Moscow could use that foothold to help build lasting security in the region.
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IRAN RESPONDS BY SHOOTING DOWN A US GLOBAL HAWK IN THE PERSIAN GULF

7/6/2019

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PIPELINE POLITICS:  NORD STREAM PUSHES FORTH FOR RUSSIA, HARD CURRENCY AND POLITICAL DISRUPTION

6/30/2019

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нефть: The Impact of Russian Energy on Europe
By Jeremiah Goodpaster, Small Wars Journal: “The use of energy plays a significant role in Russia’s political subversion, coercive deterrence, and negotiated manipulation aspects during Hybrid Warfare operations in Europe. The use of energy to allows Russia to stay below the threshold of violence and the possible activation of Article 5 Collective Security of the NATO charter."
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US MAKES SAUDI ARABIA A NUCLEAR POWER

6/28/2019

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ISRAEL OPENS UP ABOUT IS OIL RESERVES, 2 CHARTS ON US OIL REVEAL PETROL REVOLUTION CONTINUES & EASTERN MED STARTS DRILLING

6/15/2019

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Eastern Mediterranean heats up as gas rivalry stakes grow higher
 Turkey’s launch of a second ship to drill in disputed areas off Cyprus is the harbinger of further escalation in the eastern Mediterranean and tough choices for Ankara.
Simon Henderson writes: Israel is also looking for companies that can explore its waters for more gas. Although a deadline for bids on nineteen offshore blocks has been pushed back to mid-August, perhaps reflecting a lack of investor interest, Israeli officials are reportedly still hopeful that ExxonMobil will bite. For now, the U.S. company has shown more interest in Cypriot blocks, as have European companies like Total of France and Eni of Italy. The latter two companies are also interested in exploring Lebanon’s waters, despite the country’s dysfunctional government, broken electricity supply network, and intrusive Iranian influence – Washington Institute
Chart of the day: World’s top 10 oil-producing countries, 1965–2018 
Mark J. Perry | AEIdeas
Animated chart of the day: US energy consumption by fuel source, 1949–2050 
Mark J. Perry | AEIdeas
Eastern Mediterranean crisis balloons as Turkish drill ships multiply
Disputes over oil and gas reserves in the Eastern Mediterranean have caused a spike in tensions between Ankara and Turkish Cypriots on the one side, and the EU and Greek Cypriots on the other.
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RUSSIA & OPEC ARE NO LONGER FRIENDS

6/9/2019

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OPEC and Russia Are No Longer Friends
Julian Lee, Bloomberg
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THE CURSE OF LIQUIFIED NATURAL GAS FOR SAUDI ARABIA & TURKMENISTAN

5/31/2019

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Saudi Arabia’s new ‘freedom’ gas
Karen E. Young | Al-Monitor 
According to the Department of Energy, US policy will support the export of American energy products such as liquefied natural gas as “molecules of US freedom” to the rest of the world. But energy markets are a little more complicated and less nationalistic.
Turkmenistan https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.urdupoint.com/en/amp/business/turkmenistan-hosts-x-international-gas-congre-631340.html
Nord Stream
https://www.neweurope.eu/article/us-sanctions-may-be-too-late-to-stop-nord-stream-2-construction/ Contamination
https://www.google.com/amp/s/mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/idUSKCN1ST1TX
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