|
 Death of the Nile An in-depth look at how the lifeblood of Egypt is running dry. Cairo and Riyadh, Vying for Leadership
by Ilias Kouskouvelis and Konstantinos Zarras Middle East Quarterly Spring 2019 (view PDF) https://www.meforum.org/57912/egypt-saudi-arabia-leadership
0 Comments
 Russia’s Special Operations Forces Command and the Strategy of Limited Actions By Roger N. McDermott, Eurasia Daily Monitor: "Since Moscow’s military intervention in Syria, expert attention has intermittently turned to the role played by Russian special forces in this theater of operations." Turkish military begins training on S-400 in Russia Turkey’s Defense Minister Hulusi Akar has announced that a group of Turkish military specialists has arrived in Russia to receive training on the S-400 missile defense system. Akar added that Ankara has received a new proposal from the United States for its Patriot missile system and is now in talks over price, transfer and joint production. Washington has suspended Turkey's participation in the F-35 fighter jet program over Ankara's pending purchase of the S-400. Read More TURKEY, RUSSIA: Turkey Plans to Manufacture Russia's S-500 Air Defense By Joseph Trevithick, The WarZone: “Turkish President Recep Erdogan says his country will cooperate on the production of Russia's S-500 surface-to-air missile system, a move that is sure to draw new criticism from the United States and its other fellow NATO members." Major strategic implications if Iraq gets S-400 (Asia Times) It depends on which Russian publication you believe – TASS or Sputnik – on whether Iraq may be buying the Russian advanced S-400 air-defense system. But no matter whether they buy the system today or tomorrow, it is clear Iraq is heading that way. IRAQ: Major Strategic Implications If Iraq Gets S-400 By Stephen Bryen, Asia Times: "It depends on which Russian publication you believe – TASS or Sputnik – on whether Iraq may be buying the Russian advanced S-400 air-defense system. But no matter whether they buy the system today or tomorrow, it is clear Iraq is heading that way." Kevin Newton writes: For Saudi Arabia and Iran, the advantages of forging closer links with Iraq go far beyond any money made from increased trade. First, the upside of denying a key regional rival such a market cannot be understated; a number of Saudis already suspect Iranian meddling via militias in the Iraqi economy. However, the bigger appeal may well be the geopolitical victory to be had. Iraq is another battleground in the broader cold war between the two powers. The question of determining whether Shiism or Arab nationalism is the more important factor in Iraq is one that both Saudi Arabia and Iran are hedging much of their foreign policy upon. – Middle East Institute Ilan I. Berman writes: Turkey watchers believe that the country will find itself on the cusp of a serious budgetary crisis – one that could rock the foundations of Erdogan’s hold on power. Indeed, if true economic crisis hits, Turkey’s strongman could find himself rapidly shouldered out of office by the country’s oligarchs and entrenched corporate elites. Only time will tell whether he will. Over the years, Turkey’s wily head-of-state has proven himself to be a true political survivor. But mounting signs suggest that Turkish politics are suddenly in play in a way they have not been in nearly two decades. – Al–Hurra Digital Philip Kowalski writes: While Erdoğan’s successes and failures with the Arab world have been much documented, his budding relationship with Pakistan could help make up for his losses elsewhere. With similar security concerns regarding foreign enemies and domestic insurgencies and a shared insecurity regarding military coups, Pakistan and Turkey are well placed to build closer ties in areas ranging from trade to culture. Should the proposed Istanbul peace talks or the FTA come to fruition, the Pakistani-Turkish relationship could take on even greater significance for both countries. – Middle East Institute Idlib exposes Turkey’s weak hand against Russia
Despite the gains Turkey believes it's made through growing its relations with Russia, the two countries' priorities in Syria are anything but aligned. KILLING OFF THE MULLAH'S AIN'T EASY & WHY THE POST ARAB SPRING IS MESSY FOR ISLAMIC CIVILIZATION5/20/2019 
Iran Might Not Be Able to Wait Trump Out New negotiations could be Tehran’s only option.
John Hannah | Senior Counselor
Simon Henderson writes: Iran’s progress on developing advanced centrifuges—which can enrich uranium to higher levels more quickly and in greater quantity—is lacking so far. The main technical challenges of centrifuge design are maximizing their speed and height while avoiding breakdowns. Overcoming these obstacles is a matter of using the appropriate construction materials (special steel or carbon fiber, depending on the machine part in question) and going through considerable engineering trial and error (unless Iran obtains leaked secrets from specialist foreign firms). – Washington Institute
The IRGC, Iran’s military industrial complex
(Asia Times) The move to list the Guards as a terrorist entity could see factions from all sides close ranks and back them.
Trump seeks to bypass Congress on arming Gulf Arab states against Iran
The Donald Trump administration is preparing to transfer precision-guided munitions to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates amid escalating tensions with Iran in an end-run around Congress, Democrats warned Thursday. Sen. Bob Menendez, D-N.J., who has held up the sale of more than 120,000 precision-guided munitions over the two countries' intervention in Yemen since last year, warned defense contractors against potentially exporting weapons with invalid licenses. Anti-war activists speculate that the Trump administration may justify the move by citing a threat from Iran and its Houthi allies in Yemen. The effort comes as the Wall Street Journal reports that the White House and Pentagon agreed on Thursday to send up to 3,000 additional troops to the region to support submarines, planes, drones and anti-missile batteries in the first wave of a possible larger deployment. Read More
Is the United States going to war with Iran? Probably not. Should the United States go to war with Iran? Probably not. In a Fox News op-ed, Ken Pollack unpacks the current tensions with Iran and explains the potential pitfalls the US should avoid on the road ahead. Pollack writes that the US could easily win a war against Iran, but in winning, we could collapse the Iranian regime, resulting in the same kind of chaos and internal conflict that our failure to prepare for a full-scale reconstruction of Iraq caused there. Read more here.
ICYMI: Following last week’s tensions between the US and Iran, revisit Ken Pollack’sblog series, “Pushback: Countering Iran in an evolving Middle East,” in which he details what a more confrontational US policy toward Iran could look like. Pollack fleshes out his ideas on how best to push back on Iran, beginning with a broad outline of the strategy and closing with a deeper look at its specific facets: the optimal US policy toward Syria, Iraq, the nuclear agreement, and regime change. Learn more here. With US-Iran tensions at an all-time high, Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is in a precarious situation. In an AEIdeas blog, Nicholas Carl explains that for both domestic and regional reasons, the Tehran regime needs to push back against Trump with strength and resolve. At the same time, Tehran must assuage European concerns over Iranian aggression in Syria, Yemen, and beyond and keep key European nations on board with the nuclear deal. The Iranian regime is juggling these interests, and one wrong move could be catastrophic. Finish reading here.
The Resilience of the Arab World’s ‘Pouvoir’
By Shlomo Ben-Ami, The Strategist (ASPI): "Eight years after the Arab Spring, dreams of democracy in the Arab world have been dashed by the harsh reality of autocracy, corruption and military rule. Yet Algeria and Sudan, neither of which was swept up in the 2011 turmoil, are now trying their luck at challenging the often-surreptitious powers that be—what Algerian demonstrators back in 1988 dubbed le pouvoir (‘the power’). Will Arab democracy movements fare any better this time?"
Iran's Proxy Armies Become a Regime Liability
By Austin Bay, Strategy Page: "Though loath to admit it, the Iranian regime recognizes its conventional military inferiority compared to its many adversaries, particularly Israel, the U.S. and Turkey. So, the ayatollahs use proxy war, covert attacks and terror strikes to rattle their adversaries and frustrate the great powers (like the U.S.) that seek regional stability."
How Loyal Is Iran's Network of Fighters?
Iran's nonstate partners are emerging as central players in the escalating tensions between Washington and Tehran. They pursue a range of activities that destabilize the Middle East and undermine U.S. interests. But RAND experts warn against treating these groups as a monolith. They aren't all Iranian proxies. And there are subtle but important differences in their ties to the regime. Understanding these distinctions is key to tracking bad behavior back to Iran. It may also help inform U.S. responses. Read more »
Kate Allen writes: The battle to oust Islamic State from Raqqa followed the modern US military playbook. A massive aerial assault conducted with willing military powers (here, the UK and France); zero use of ground troops; and a reliance on proxy fighters at street level (here, the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces militia). The bombardment was immense. For four months the coalition pounded the city into the ground – with thousands of airstrikes (215 from the UK, says the MoD) and 30,000 US artillery rounds. – The Guardian
In its May 22, 2019 editorial, by Sa’dollah Zarei, the Iranian regime mouthpiece Kayhan called for destroying the Saudi regime, terming it a “cancerous growth.” Kayhan praised the Iran-backed Shi’ite Houthi Ansar Allah militia’s May 14, 2019 drone attack on the Saudi oil pipeline at Yanbu port. Without explicitly claiming that Iran was responsible for the May 12 attack on the oil tankers at the UAE port of Fujairah, the newspaper clarified that the message conveyed by this attack was harm to the U.S. – Middle East MediaResearch Institute
David Albright and Andrea Stricker write:With tensions increasing in the Middle East, the current situation, on the surface, does not appear to favor negotiations for a new deal. Moreover, the United States is demanding that Iran meet a dozen conditions relating not only to the nuclear and missile issues, but also to its malign regional activities and support for terror. Iran appears more focused on its own efforts to isolate the United States and threaten (and possibly carry out) asymmetric retaliation for the re-imposed sanctions. However, neither Iran nor the United States appear to want a crisis to grow into a military confrontation. With this dynamic, new negotiations may be the most advantageous path forward for both sides. – Institute for Science and International Security
Thirty years into rule, Khamenei continues centralizing power in Iran
Behnam Ben Taleblu | Senior Fellow
Pollack writes that the US could easily win a war against Iran, but in winning, we could collapse the Iranian regime, resulting in the same kind of chaos and internal conflict that our failure to prepare for a full-scale reconstruction of Iraq caused there. Keep reading here.
 Assad’s forces battle jihadists for key terrain in Latakia The Turkistan Islamic Party, "Incite the Believers" operations room and Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham are all battling Bashar al-Assad's loyalists in Latakia, Syria. Sudan On The Cusp Of Democratic Change by Larry Diamond, Anne Pence, Mohamed Abubakr via The American Interest Larry Diamond is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and Stanford University. Anne Pence was G7/G8 policy advisor at the State Department, senior advisor to the US MCC, a USAID Mission economist in Sudan and is on the Advisory Board of the African Middle Eastern Leadership Project (AMEL). Mohamed Abubakr, a Sudanese human rights activist, is President of AMEL. Algeria hosts Libyan leader as rockets hit Tripoli hotel
Rockets hit a Tripoli hotel today in an attack the UN-recognized government blamed on forces loyal to strongman Khalifa Hifter. Lawmakers opposed to Hifter have been meeting at the Rixos hotel to discuss his offensive against Tripoli. There was no immediate word of any casualties. Meanwhile on Thursday, Libyan Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj met with Algeria’s interim President Abdelkader Bensalah. The Algerian leader rejected a military solution in Libya, stressing his country’s support for Sarraj’s government. Read More Outlasting the Taliban to Achieve Victory in Afghanistan By Malcolm E. Whittaker, RealClearDefense: "The Thirty Years War? The Hundred Years War? The Forever War? More than 17 years after the United States invaded Afghanistan to depose the Taliban regime, the United States has failed to crush the resulting Taliban insurgency and cannot withdraw without allowing them to return to power. Assessing the Trump team’s Afghanistan peace plan Michael Rubin | The Afghan Institute for Strategic Studies Zalmay Khalilzad, President Trump’s special envoy for Afghanistan, continues to pursue a diplomatic settlement with the Taliban framed mostly around the idea that the US will withdraw from Afghanistan and, in exchange, the Taliban will forswear terrorism. That strategy cannot work. Pakistan on a Tightrope By Dr. James M. Dorsey, May 19, 2019 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Pakistan risks falling off a tightrope as it attempts to balance its relations with rivals Saudi Arabia and Iran. Continue to full article ->  Al-Qaeda elements are seen in parts of Afghanistan: Miller (TOLO News) The U.S. and NATO Forces Commander in Afghanistan Gen. Scott Miller has said that there are some indications about the movements of al-Qaeda elements in some parts of Afghanistan but gave no details about the nature of these movements. Michael Rubin writes: Khalilzad’s strategy will never work. Within the American political context, Khalilzad’s diplomatic agreement with the Taliban is meant to provide cover for President Donald Trump’s decision to withdrawal from Afghanistan and nothing more. Just as President Barack Obama became so committed to a nuclear bargain with Iran that he embraced a bad deal rather than consider no deal, the Taliban today recognizes that Trump and Khalilzad will make any concession so long as Trump can promise peace in our time. – The Afghan Institute for Strategic Studies Pakistan’s army has sentenced a general to life imprisonment for spying and ordered the death penalty for a brigadier and a civilian officer convicted in the same case, a military statement said on Thursday. – Reuters
Sadanand Dhume writes: But although federalism may ensure that Mr. Modi does not quite become an Indian Vladimir Putin, it will do little to quell the fears of those who worry that the BJP will use its mandate to marginalize India’s Muslim and Christian minorities, empower Hindu zealots who espouse violence, replace scientific rationalism with Hindu mythology, and use tax authorities to bully and badger opponents. Mr. Modi may well prove his critics wrong by reining in party hotheads and focusing more on economic growth and less on divisive cultural issues. But until that happens, anxiety about what his mandate means cannot be dismissed. – Wall Street Journal Muhammad Akbar Notezai writes: If these attacks continue, the CPEC’s chances of success will decrease, as will the possibility of Saudi-Iranian tensions on Pakistani soil. It is time for Islamabad to start treating the Baloch as stakeholders in the development of the Gwadar port, to make the CPEC successful. But unfortunately, Islamabad has always treated the Baloch as a problem, not a solution—and even increasing violence probably won’t change that. – Foreign Policy  US commander confirms: al Qaeda operating ‘across’ Afghanistan Al Qaeda is operating "across the country" and not confined to one region, the commander of US and NATO forces in Afghanistan said. Peace in Afghanistan?
By Robert J. Felderman, RealClearDefense: "No amount of money will make a difference if Afghans don’t possess the skills to put the aid to good use. This is where the State Partnership Program (SPP) comes in." 
Likud member breaks with Netanyahu over immunity bill
Israeli opposition lawmakers praised Knesset member Gideon Saar on Thursday for breaking ranks with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on a bill that would grant him immunity from prosecution while in office. Although Saar is from Netanyahu’s Likud Party, the two men have frequently clashed. Netanyahu has been working to advance a bill that would allow him to avoid prosecution in three pending corruption cases. Read More
Israel's Narrow Path To Peace
by Angelo M. Codevilla via Strategika Pitilessly, the past quarter century’s events have dismissed the hopes for peace with the Arabs that Israeli diplomats, often accompanied by U.S. counterparts, detailed to the world in 1993 as they explained the concessions they had finalized in Oslo. Previously, they had treated Yasser Arafat’s Palestine Liberation Organization as a terrorist organization to be marginalized if not destroyed. The list of its outrages, from bombing school buses and airports to murdering Olympic athletes, spoke for itself. In 1982, the U.S. saved the PLO from imminent destruction by an Israeli and Lebanese alliance, and sustained it in supervised exile in Tunisia.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/liberman-is-right-to-protest-ultra-orthodox-coercion-but-an-election-wont-help/
● https://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/A-third-election-in-2019-It-can-certainly-happen-analysis-591125 ● https://www.timesofisrael.com/liberman-wont-say-hell-back-netanyahu-for-pm-after-elections-rules-out-gantz/ ● https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/elections/.premium-netanyahu-just-suffered-one-of-the-biggest-losses-of-his-political-career-1.7305540 ● https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/prospect-of-new-israeli-vote-looms-as-netanyahu-struggles-with-coalition/2019/05/29/9155b71a-8171-11e9-b585-e36b16a531aa_story.html?utm_term=.f3602a7f8332
Is war with Iran imminent? Here's the real truth
Kenneth Pollack | Fox News It is unlikely that the US will find itself in a war with Iran in the near term because both sides are eager to avoid one. Although some of President Trump’s advisers may welcome a clash with Tehran, he has consistently made clear that he wants to end American wars in the Middle East, not start new ones.
Yemen’s Houthis claim drone strikes on Saudi pipeline
The confirmed use of armed drones to target major oil pipelines deep within Saudi Arabia represents a major increase in the Houthis capabilities. Deadly Niger ambush claimed by the Islamic State The jihadist group also claimed an assault on a high-security prison near the capital of Niamey. 
Al Qaeda video emphasizes unity with Taliban’s Islamic emirate
Al Qaeda has released a new video emphasizing its unity with the Taliban's Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan. The video features a joint Taliban-al Qaeda ambush on an Afghan army convoy in Paktika province.
The U.S. Can't Escape the Middle East
By Lara Seligman, Foreign Policy: "Almost 16 months ago, then-U.S. Defense Secretary James Mattis initiated a course correction for the Pentagon. After 17 years of war in the Middle East, great power competition with Russia and China, not terrorism, would be the priority."
The Muslim Brotherhood and terrorism
Danielle Pletka | AEIdeas Should the US designate the Muslim Brotherhood as a terrorist organization? Experts use Twitter to weigh in on the debate.
A New Strategy to Counter Iran’s Growing Power
Omar Hossino Obama’s attempt to make Tehran an ally against ISIS has backfired. Trump needs to ditch that approach to keep Iran in check and prevent an ISIS resurgence. Read More
B-52s, Patriots, F-35s and More: America's Mideast Deployment Rundown
by Seth Frantzman The Jerusalem Post May 12, 2019 https://www.meforum.org/58501/americas-mideast-deployment-rundown MARTIN KRAMER EXAMINES THE RISE OF ISRAEL IN THREE ACTS & REVIEW OF US IRANIAN POLICY VIA OMAN5/9/2019 
From Ben-Gurion to Netanyahu: The Evolution of Israel’s National Security Strategy
Jacob Nagel | Visiting FellowJonathan Schanzer | Senior Vice President for Research
Up for Debate: U.S.-Iran policy
Mark Dubowitz — Middle East Institute So far, US policy seems to be working, albeit unevenly. The Trump administration has pursued an Iran policy based on the use of all instruments of national power — economic, diplomatic, and military deterrence — to stop Tehran from engaging in a wide array of aggressive and malign behaviors that defy global norms. So far, it seems to be working, albeit unevenly. The most successful part of the strategy has been the reinstatement of sanctions... Read more
Carrier strike group deployment offers opportunity to sharpen Iran policy
Behnam Ben Taleblu and Bradley Bowman — The Hill Iran will continue to utilize asymmetric or “gray zone” tactics as long as it believes it can do so with relative impunity. However, when confronted with strength, Iran has often backed-down. Indeed, under the Trump administration, naval harassment of American vessels by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is reportedly decreasing. To explain its de-escalation to a domestic audience, the regime has twisted itself into rhetorical knots... Read more
Oman in the Middle Muscat’s Balancing Act Between Iran and America
Jonathan Schanzer | Senior Vice President for ResearchNicole Salter | Project Manager
Up for Debate: U.S.-Iran policy
So far, US policy seems to be working, albeit unevenly. Mark Dubowitz | Chief Executive  Al Qaeda-linked operations room counterattacks as bombs fall in northern Syria The Assad regime and Russia have stepped up their bombing campaign in northwestern Syria in recent weeks. The al Qaeda-linked "Incite the Believers" operations room has counterattacked with a series of operations.
The Anglo-Russian rivalry (called the Great Game) precipitated the Second Anglo-Afghan War. Afghanistan was of strategic importance to the British in the defence of their Indian Empire, and the prevention of the spreading influence of Russia. They favoured a Forward Policy of extending India's frontiers to the Hindu Kush and gaining control over Afghanistan. In 1878 Sher Ali, who for the majority of his reign kept good terms with the British, was devastated by the death of his favourite son and his court was in disarray. The British were trying to establish a permanent mission at Kabul which Sher Ali, trying to keep a balance between the Russians and British, would not permit. The arrival of a Russian diplomatic mission in Kabul increased British suspicions of Russian influence and ultimately led to the Second Afghan War. The British undertook a three-pronged drive into Afghanistan, held the Khyber Pass and defeated the Amir's forces. Appointing his son Yakub Khan as regent, Sher Ali fled from his capital to take refuge in Russian Turkestan but died at Mazhar-e-Sharif on 21 February 1879. Yakub had to agree to the Treaty of Gandamak, whereby Afghanistan ceded to the British control of its foreign affairs, and the Khyber and Michni Passes, and allowed British representatives in Kabul and other locations.
This photograph of the Amir actually dates from 1869 from the Ambala Durbar when he first entered into negotiations with the British. Burke reused it as part of the introduction to his Afghan War catalogue. 
Making Sense of Palestinian Logic by Daniel Pipes
National Review Online May 4, 2019 https://www.meforum.org/58404/making-sense-of-palestinian-logic  Wall Street may be returning to Saudi Arabia, but it’s not back to business as usual Varsha Koduvayur | Senior Research Analyst It’s Time for Saudi Arabia to Stop Exporting Extremism Trump should not waste his opportunity to begin repairing Wahhabism’s trail of wreckage. John Hannah | Senior Counselor Ankara’s realignment with Russia will cost Turkey more than it thinks Merve Tahiroglu and Greg Everett — The Hill Washington’s deadline for Turkey to abandon its plans to purchase the S-400 surface-to-air missile defense system from Russia is fast approaching, with little progress. Fiercely defending his purchase of the missile, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is accelerating Turkey’s strategic shift away from NATO. The costs of this shift are much larger than Turkey’s leaders are willing to admit — and not only on the country’s defense sector, but also its energy sector... Read more Wall Street may be returning to Saudi Arabia, but it’s not back to business as usual
Varsha Koduvayur — CNN Business Despite the concerns of many firms, it’s unclear whether Mohammed bin Salman realizes — or cares — how serious a blow the kingdom’s image has taken. Western firms that do business with Saudi Arabia may face a Sisyphean challenge when trying to protect their reputations after every new outrage. Under such conditions, Saudi Arabia is unlikely to get the buy-in it wants from the business community... Read more  China and the Sudan Coup By Roie Yellinek, May 2, 2019 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: On April 11, 2019, Sudan’s long reigning president Omar Bashir was overthrown in a military coup after 30 years at the helm. China, one of his staunchest supporters, must now assess how to maintain its relationship with the African nation, which lies on a critical spot on the prospective Belt and Road route. Continue to full article -> Arab Power Struggles Are Alive and Well By Dr. James M. Dorsey, May 10, 2019 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Libya’s battle for Tripoli alongside ongoing mass anti-government demonstrations that toppled autocratic leaders of Algeria and Sudan demonstrate that the popular Arab protests that in 2011 forced four presidents out of office – as well as the counterrevolution it provoked – are alive and kicking. Continue to full article -> Sudan army rejects civilian majority in ruling council (BBC) A top official in Sudan's military council has told the BBC it will not allow civilians a majority on the supreme council set to rule the country during a transitional period. A real plan to end the war in Yemen Kenneth Pollack, Barbara Walter, and Michael Knights | Foreign Affairs Of all the options before the United States, ending support to Saudi Arabia is the one that is least likely to stop the killing, dying, and complications for US interests. Brett McGurk writes: China is making a risky bet in the Middle East. By focusing on economic development and adhering to the principle of noninterference in internal affairs, Beijing believes it can deepen relations with countries that are otherwise nearly at war with one another—all the while avoiding any significant role in the political affairs of the region. This is likely to prove naive, particularly if U.S. allies begin to stand up for their interests. – Defense One
 Egypt presses ahead with nuclear power Egypt's al-Dabaa site in the northern Marsa Matrouh governorate has won permits to begin construction for the country's first nuclear power station. No one in the sun -and gas- soaked Middle East needs nuclear power Mark Dubowitz and Henry Sokolski — Washington Examiner Wednesday’s decision by the Islamic Republic of Iran to break the restrictions of the Iran nuclear deal is a further reminder that neither Iran, nor for that matter Saudi Arabia, needs nuclear power. Nor, for that matter, does any other state in the gas-soaked, sun-drenched Middle East, where civil nuclear programs are simply nuclear bomb starter kits. Instead of straining to control these programs, or even facilitating them, the U.S. should encourage less risky, cheaper, clean non-nuclear alternatives.... Read more After finalizing IMF loan, Egypt’s reforms target industrialization, exports
An IMF mission, currently in Cairo to review Egypt’s economic reform program under a $12 billion loan, is focusing on the country’s plan to launch structural reforms, targeting the industrial and export sectors.
The Iranian Government's 40 Years of Hatred Towards America by Majid Rafizadeh
Salafi-jihadi groups such as al Qaeda and the Islamic State use both coercion and persuasion to gain support from vulnerable populations. In a Critical Threats Project analysis, Emily Estelle shows how Ansar al Islam’s activities in northern Burkina Faso exemplify how Salafi-jihadi groups exploit conditions of poor governance and conflict. Because of this exploitation, communities under pressure accept and sometimes support the Salafi-jihadi presence as a means of survival even when they do not accept the groups’ ideology. Read more here
Examining the Global Terrorism Landscape
Bill Roggio testifies before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on the Middle East, North Africa and International Terrorism, and examines the global terrorism landscape.
Baghdadi outlines path forward for Islamic State post-caliphate
(The Associated Press) No longer burdened by territory and administration, Islamic State group leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi outlined the new path forward for his group: Widen your reach, connect with far-flung militant groups and exhaust your enemies with a “war of attrition.”
Chaos in Sudan and the rest of North Africa threatens all of us
Emily Estelle | Los Angeles Times The US administration is turning away from Africa at a time when more engagement is crucial. |
AFRICAN ARAB SPRING
ISHMAEL IS NOT FATHER OF ARABS
DEFEATING SECTARIANISM IN MIDDLE EAST
CHANGING DYNAMICS OF SALAFI JIHADI MOVEMENTS
FOLLOWING VISION 2030
HOOVER; ISLAMISM
MEF RADIO LIVE
THE PAKISTAN READER
ISRAELI NEWS NETWORK
THUCYDIDES & THE LONG WAR PROBLEM
250 YEARS OF AMERICAN IRREGULAR WAR
AEI - CRITICAL THREATS PROJECT: SALIFI JIHADI MOVEMENTS GROWING
ABBAS MILANI HOOVER PAGE: IRAN & U.S. RELATIONS
HOOVER INSTITUTION BLOG ON THE NEAR EAST
JEWISH INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL SECURITY OF AMERICA
FATA PAKISTAN RESEARCH CENTER
ISRAELI NUCLEAR POSTURE & DOCTRINES
CONTAIN, DEGRADE, DEFEAT: PLAN FOR MIDDLE EAST
THE PLAN TO DEFEAT THE ISLAMIC STATE & al-QAEDA
CENTER FOR SECURITY, REGIONAL STUDIES, KABUL
AfPak POLICY OPTIONS
ISLAMISM & INTERNATIONAL ORDER
HOOVER INSTITUTION PUBLICATION ON U.S. NEAR EAST POLICY
Israeli Security & Gulf States
PRINCIPALS GUIDING US POLICY IN MIDDLE EAST
HOW ISRAEL WINS
FREE BOOKS ON MIDDLE EAST
AEI: GLOBAL JIHADI THREAT & BEYOND
HOOVER: OPERATIONAL GUIDE FOR THE LONG WAR
THE ETTINGER REPORT: U.S. ISRAELI RELATIONS
GOOGLE NEWS PAKISTAN
HOW TO WIN WORLD WAR IV
REQUIREMENTS FOR THE LONG WAR
Archives
September 2023
Categories |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
RSS Feed