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centcom & The long war

ARAB SPRING DIES IN TUNISA & EGYPT

7/28/2021

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Tunisians decry coup, while president's supporters claim 'second revolution'
 On the streets of Tunis, rumors and anticipation of July 25 demonstrations have been circulating for weeks.
CRF
​
https://www.nysun.com/foreign/tunisian-tragedy-arab-spring-just-died-in/91593/
Israel concerned over possible new Russian policy on Syria
 Israel is perplexed over the recent statement by Russian Rear Adm. Vadim Kulit concerning the interception in Syria of alleged Israeli missiles.
Tehran’s crimes, acts of war, and other provocation
TRACKING BIDEN ON IRAN, CHINA
​While Biden Aims For A New Nuclear Deal, Israel Must Stay Tough on Iran
Erdogan’s Provocations in Cyprus Escalate Tensions in Eastern Mediterranean
Iran’s Tricky Balancing Act in Afghanistan by Candace Rondeaux, Amir Toumaj, and Arif Ammar

The American Revolution, Naval Power, and the 21st Century by BJ Armstrong

The Defense Futures Simulator from War on the Rocks, American Enterprise Institute, and Center for Strategic & International Studies

Strategic Outpost’s Sixth Annual Summer Vacation Reading List by David Barno and Nora Bensahel    

The Problem with Biden’s Democracy Agenda by Robert Manning and Mathew Burrows
Pentagon Chief Calls for New Regional Order in Indo-Pacific
By Mike Yeo, Defense News: “The U.S. defense secretary has called on allies in the Indo-Pacific to force a new regional order, during his first visit to the area since taking up his post under the Biden administration.”
CHINA:
China Increasing Its ICBM Silos by a Factor of Ten

By Thomas Newdick, The War Zone: “A new ICBM silo field taking shape in the northwest of the country is the second to be identified in only a month.
The Pentagon Needs More Than Ships and Planes to Deter China
By Editorial Board, Bloomberg: "U.S. forces in the Indo-Pacific region need to be more resilient, flexible and effective."

A U.S. Defense Budget That Makes China Smile
By Mackenzie Eaglen, 1945: ““More tooth, less tail” is a common refrain from defense leaders in search of more combat power as budgets have flatlined. No matter the topline, it seems defense continues to get less for more. Except when it comes to civilians.” 

Military Agility
By Jonathan Beall, Strategy Bridge: “. . . the key to understanding the move from peace to war must include an army’s “cognitive and mental flexibility” in that transition, which means this process is not simply a matter of material readiness, although it is not neglected.” ​
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THE RETURN OF MENACHEM BEGIN:  HOW DAVID BEN GURON'S FASCIST HAS TAKEN ISRAEL

7/9/2021

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OFFICIAL TRAILER | UPHEAVAL: THE JOURNEY OF MENACHEM BEGIN from Abramorama on Vimeo.

 Mapping the Taliban’s Offensive
Afghanistan at risk of collapse as Taliban storms the north
China’s military budget much bigger than what it reveals’
Cleo Paskal 
– The Sunday Guardia
The Middle East should be afraid of Iran’s Ebrahim Raisi
Alireza Nader and Saeed Ghasseminejad — Al Arabiya
Iran’s newly elected president, Ebrahim Raisi, is known for his brutal and fanatical devotion to the Islamic Republic, a history that it would serve Middle Eastern nations well to remember in future foreign policy dealings with the country. Raisi’s selection by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei as president is meant to facilitate a smooth succession and instill fear in Iranians yearning to break free from the theocracy. Read more
The Coming Sanctions Battle Over Iran’s New President
Behnam Ben Taleblu — The National Interest
Men of the cloth are no strangers to the levers of power in Iran, especially the office of the presidency. Ebrahim Raisi, the sixty-year-old mid-ranking cleric who is now president-elect, or better put, president-select, will be the first in the history of the Islamic Republic to make the lateral move from the judiciary, which he led since 2019, to the presidency. He will also be the first Iranian president under U.S. sanctions. Read more
 Middle East Diplomacy with Elliott Abrams
Tikvah's incoming chairman, Elliott Abrams, joined JNS's Jonathan Tobin to discuss the past failed efforts at a two-state solution as well as diplomacy, democracy, and the future of American Jewry. Listen Here (48 min.).

3) Rabbi Yehoshua Pfeffer on the Ultra-Orthodox and the IDF
Almost every Jewish community in Israel serves in the IDF, except one: the haredim. On this week's podcast, Tikvah's Rabbi Yehoshua Pfeffer explores the background behind his community's reluctance to serve in the Israeli army and brings us inside the debate currently unfolding within Israel's Orthodox communities about the fulfillment of civic obligation and moral duty. Listen Here (39 min.).
The War at Home: The Need for Internal Security Sector Reform in Iraqi Kurdistan
The forces and agencies of Kurdistan’s Ministry of Interior and the Kurdistan Region Security Council, collectively referred to the Kurdistan Region Interior Forces, are now the region’s main security actors, but their role as instruments of partisan rivalry and enforcers of public loyalty to the political bureaus threatens the Kurdistan Region’s stability. This report makes the case that coalition security sector reform efforts should be refocused on them. Although Peshmerga reform is necessary to improve the Kurdistan Region’s ability to combat external threats, it is equally, if not more important to start the same reform within these internal forces and agencies to achieve durable stability.
Read article
The Pakistan Factor in China’s Afghanistan Policy: Emerging Regional Faultlines amid US Withdrawal

To date, China has largely relied on Pakistan to conduct its Afghan policy. Not much bothered about the future political role of the Taliban, China fears the prospect of instability in Afghanistan after the U.S. exit. Beijing’s primary concern in a post-U.S. Afghanistan, which is likely to be run by a regime dominated by the Taliban, is that Uyghur separatists and the East Turkestan Islamic Movement might find a safe haven in the country. Although all regional countries support the idea of an inclusive political resolution to the Afghan conflict, neither China nor any other country has any appetite to lead a regional intervention to stabilize it. China has therefore responded to the announcement of the American exit from Afghanistan with a sense of disquiet. 
Read article
Spring 2021 Issue
MODERNIZING RUSSIAN NUKES
On Wars and Changing Threats
By Maj. Gen. (res.) Gershon Hacohen, July 9, 2021
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Israeli society must recognize the intensity of the new threats that surround it and critically assess the conventional wisdom that the era of big threats has passed and Israel need no longer be a "mobilized nation."
Continue to full article ->
Biden's Afghanistan: The Fog of Retreat
​Editorial of The New York Sun | July 9, 2021

https://www.nysun.com/editorials/bidens-afghanistan-the-fog-of-retreat/91568/
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