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WHY DOES PAKISTAN FLIRT WITH ISRAEL; EMERGENT INDIGENOUS LEADERSHIP IN AFGHANISTAN, AL-QAEDA LEADERSHIP ISN'T HEALTHY ANYMORE & A LOOK AT THE MIDDLE EAST QUARTERLY

8/25/2019

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U.S., AFGHANISTAN:
Taliban’s Prime Objectives:
U.S. Withdrawal, ‘Establishment of an Islamic Government’

By Bill Roggio, FDD's Long War Journal: “The Taliban reiterated that its prime objectives in negotiations with the U.S. is to get Coalition forces to withdrawal from Afghanistan and the “establishment of an Islamic government,” a thinly veiled reference to the return of the Taliban’s Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan."
PAKISTAN'S POLITICAL ECONOMY
It’s really hard to buy peace in Afghanistan
(Defense One) Western leaders looking to replace troops with targeted aid may find it counterproductive.
Ahmad Katawazai writes: It would be wise for the Taliban to engage into an intra-Afghan dialogue to orchestrate a workable broad-based government preserving the gains that have been made. As Ghani and Trump both pointed out, there can be no peace without a truce or ceasefire. Taliban should consider that as a precondition for the resumption of peace talks. – Washington Examiner
 
David Tafuri writes: President Trump and Democratic candidates should realize that exit from Afghanistan at all costs is too costly. Trump should pursue a deal to draw the Taliban into a political process and encourage them to cut ties with terrorist groups. A complete withdrawal of NATO forces can only be ordered when we are certain that Afghanistan will not revert back to a terrorist state without them. – The Hill
KHAN'S REPORT CARD 13 MONTHS IN
HOW DOES PAKISTAN ENVISION ITS FUTURE
​Pakistan Flirts with a Strong Israel by Efraim Inbar
Haaretz
September 7, 2019

https://www.meforum.org/59332/pakistani-interest-in-normalization-with-israel     

ASIA TIMES:  ISLAMABAD & JERUSALEM JOIN HANDS
The U.S.-Taliban Negotiations: A Deadly Qatari Trap by Yigal Carmon
EMERGENCE OF OTHER POLITICAL LEADERSHIP IN AFGHANISTAN
MEQ
The real risks of allowing terrorist safe havens
Hal Brands | Bloomberg 
Do safe havens matter or not? The truth is that denying such sanctuaries is crucial to effective counterterrorism, so long as some key caveats and distinctions are kept in mind
Don’t Sign a Death Warrant for Afghan Democracy by Ioannis Koskinas
Stakes in Afghanistan Demand Transparency
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Bradley Bowman | CMPP Senior Director
Bill Roggio | Senior Fellow and Editor of FDD's Long War Journal 
Remembering why we are at war in Afghanistan
(Military Times) As we close in on two decades of war in Afghanistan and search for an end to the conflict, perhaps we ought first to go back to its origins and recognize a fundamental truth.
Alternative Futures: Assessment of the Afghanistan Bureau 2001-2021
By Michael Barr, Divergent Options: "This assessment paper provides an alternative history and therefore an alternative future to U.S. actions in Afghanistan following the 9/11 attacks.  This paper is written from the point of view of a staff officer providing an overview of U.S. efforts in Afghanistan from 2001-2021 to an incoming political appointee in the Department of Defense."
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AL-SISI MUST TAKE ON THE BROTHERHOOD; HOW CHINA UNDERWRITES EGYPT: CHINA'S ONE-BELT-ONE-ROAD HITS THE MIDDLE EAST AUTOCRATS

8/21/2019

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The Muslim Brotherhood Must Be Confronted by Tawfik Hamid 
Will There Be a New Russian-Chinese Security Architecture in the Gulf?
By Dr. James M. Dorsey, September 13, 2019
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Russia, backed by China, is hoping to exploit mounting doubts in the Persian Gulf about the reliability of the US as the region’s sole security guarantor. It is proposing a radical overhaul of the security architecture in the area, which is home to massive oil and gas reserves and some of the world’s most strategic waterways.

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Egypt sentences Muslim Brotherhood spiritual leader to life in prison  
Egypt on Wednesday handed down prison sentences against leaders of the outlawed Muslim Brotherhood, charging them with spying for foreign organizations and financing terrorism. The court sentenced 11 people, including Muslim Brotherhood spiritual guide Mohammed Badie, to life in prison. Five others received jail terms ranging from seven to 10 years. Egyptian authorities have been leading a crackdown against thousands of Muslim Brotherhood supporters since the ouster of the late President Mohammed Morsi in 2013.   Read More  
middleeasteye.net
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Haisam Hassanein writes: China has become an essential component of Sisi’s agenda at home and abroad. Without its financing and expertise, showpiece projects like the new administrative capital and a new Suez Canal industrial zone are unlikely to get off the ground. In return, China wants to take advantage of Egypt’s position in the Arab world and Africa to facilitate bilateral and collective cooperation in both regions, including on projects that further the BRI. All of this should worry the United States, especially since China could use its access to Egyptian ports to improve its standing in the Middle East and potentially gather intelligence on U.S. interests, similar to Washington’s concerns about Israel’s Haifa port. – Washington Institute
Michael Bennon writes: At this year’s BRI forum, Chinese officials stated that they would push for more transparency in BRI projects. This is laudable. But transparency in international finance should not be subject only to the bilateral policies of lending nations. It should also be enforced by international institutions, like the IMF. The IMF did miss an opportunity in Pakistan this summer, but it wasn’t to prevent or ring-fence a bailout. The IMF should have simply required transparency in the form of published contracts as a precondition for IMF support. – Center for Strategic and International Studies
​Egypt seeks to increase exports to Africa
 Despite figures indicating an increase in the Egyptian exports to Africa, there still seem to be several obstacles facing Egyptian exports to the continent.

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NETANYAHU IS MORE JABOTINSKY THAN BEN GURION

8/19/2019

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Netanyahu: More a Jabotinsky than a Begin or a Ben-Gurion
By Dr. Gil Samsonov, August 18, 2019
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: In favoring the political over the military approach, Benjamin Netanyahu is the direct successor of Ze’ev Jabotinsky, who espoused the political Zionism of forging an alliance with a world power. Netanyahu’s outlook is evident in his conflict management strategy vis-à-vis the PLO, Hamas, and Hezbollah while focusing on fighting Israel’s foremost enemy, Iran. Even there Netanyahu has preferred the path of political struggle, in cooperation with the US, and the use of sanctions over war. 

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Comparing Netanyahu and Ben-Gurion
By Prof. Shmuel Sandler, August 30, 2019
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: In a recent landmark, Benjamin Netanyahu became Israel’s longest-serving prime minister, surpassing the tenure of David Ben-Gurion. A comparison of the two PMs’ leadership reveals points of both similarity and difference. Both leaders, even in the views of their opponents, left a major impact on the country and the society.
Continue to full article ->
Israel Meets With UAE, Declares It’s Joining Persian Gulf Coalition 
Foreign Minister Israel Katz told the Knesset’s Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee about the agreement, and told lawmakers that Israel participates in intelligence and other areas where it can offer capabilities and advantages.
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THE FUTURE STRUCTURE OF THE YEMENI STATE, 40 YEARS OF IRANIAN WAR ON US, IRAN'S COLLAPSING ECONOMY & WHY IRAN WANTS PRESIDENT BIDEN

8/10/2019

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Islamist-inspired Terrorism Returns to Yemen  by Con Coughlin
Yemen government begins indirect talks with separatists 
Yemen’s internationally recognized government and separatist forces started indirect talks in the Saudi city of Jeddah on Wednesday to discuss ways to end their conflict in southern Yemen. The separatists, backed by the United Arab Emirates, seized control of the temporary capital Aden last month, threatening to unravel the Arab coalition fighting the Iran-backed Houthis. “The situation is very difficult and complicated but we hope to achieve some progress,” a senior Yemeni official said. Attempts at solving the rift have previously failed, with President Abed Rabbo Mansour Hadi’s government refusing to meet with the separatists unless they hand over the positions they have seized in southern Yemen.  Read More  ​
The Future Structure of the Yemeni State
Profound questions about Yemen's future remain unanswered, and before negotiations can move forward the rival parties will likely need to address the elephant in the room: the future structure of Yemen as a state.

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Forty Years of Iranian Intolerance
by Denis MacEoin 
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